Monthly Archives: May 2016

NYC Memorial Day Weekend Weather – May 27, 2016

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It’s been a week of hot, summer-like temperatures in the city, and this will continue into the Memorial Day weekend as the official kickoff of the summer season gets underway. It’s going to be an excellent weekend for hitting the beach as a pleasant, cooling sea breeze will be present. Memorial Day itself looks increasingly like a rainy day, with precipitation enhanced by an influx of tropical moisture from what could very shortly become the second named tropical storm (Bonnie) of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Rest of today – warm and humid with high temperatures in the upper-80s to near 90ºF. Cloud cover increases this afternoon, and scattered thunderstorms are possible along a sea breeze front, mostly confined to upper elevations in the Lower Hudson Valley.

Saturday – sunny, hot and humid again with high temperatures around 90ºF – a persistent Bermuda High will be the driver of these hot temperatures.

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Sunday – another very warm day with high temperatures in the mid-upper 80s. A backdoor cold front is expected to near the area, but not push through and this frontal boundary could serve as a trigger for thunderstorms, but these will be limited to areas north of the city.

Monday (Memorial Day) – significantly cooler, mostly cloudy, with periods of rain likely as a cold front approaches slowly from the west. High temperatures in the mid-70s. Rainfall may be enhanced by tropical moisture associated with what will likely become Tropical Storm Bonnie.

Tropical Storm Bonnie

An area of showers associated with a low pressure center off the coast of Florida has been steadily becoming better organized over the last couple days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this disturbance a 90% chance of becoming Tropical Storm Bonnie. Though there won’t be a direct impact on this region, the moisture from this storm could drive heavy rain on Monday.

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Satellite imagery of the low pressure area that is likely to become TS Bonnie

A Hot Summer Coming?

The Climate Prediction Center continues to call for a hot summer for almost the entirety of the United States in its latest 3 month temperature outlook.

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NYC Weather Update – May 24, 2016

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After a rainy day today, the rest of the week and looking ahead into the weekend will feature pleasant and mostly sunny weather with temperatures above normal for this time of the year. The weather should cooperate with outdoor plans for this Memorial Day.

Rest of today – mild, but cloudy, with periods of rain this afternoon associated with a low over Cape Cod until around 5PM. High temperatures around 70ºF.

More showers this afternoon
More showers this afternoon

Wednesday – high pressure will build to the southeast as the low pressure system departs to the northeast. Much warmer temperatures in the mid-80s will be on top tomorrow with plenty of sun.

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Thursday – a few degrees cooler than Wednesday but still quite nice with high temperatures in the low-80s and mostly sunny again.

Friday – a couple degrees cooler with a high in the upper-70s to around 80ºF, yet another splendid day.

 

NYC Weekend Weather – May 20, 2016

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If there ever was an ideal day to play hooky from work or school, today would be the day. As it turns out, it’s also National Bike to Work Day, and you couldn’t ask for better weather for this. This weekend will be a mixed bag though, with rain developing later on Saturday and possible Sunday. Looking ahead, a Bermuda High sets up in the next week and will push temperatures above normal.

Rest of today – picture perfect conditions, mostly sunny, high temperatures in the mid-70s.

Saturday – mostly cloudy with rain developing in the afternoon and evening hours. A low pressure system offshore to our south will be the cause of this rain, though the heaviest rain likely won’t make it onshore. High temperatures cool off into the mid-60s with cloud cover and winds moving from southeast to north as the low progresses.

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Sunday – a lingering chance for rain in the morning, followed by mostly cloudy conditions, but slightly warmer with high temperatures in the upper-60s.

Monday – small chance for showers in the afternoon, high temperatures again in the upper-60s with mostly cloudy skies.

 

Finally Warming Up – Drought Development Likely

The development of a Bermuda high in the 6-10 day range will result in above normal temperatures for much of the Northeast, as you see from the following charts from the Climate Prediction Center. While we’re all yearning for warmer temperatures with the cool spring we’ve had, the warmth and lack of rain will be conducive for the development of drought conditions this spring. We had just recovered from a persistent, though only moderate drought this winter, but we’re way behind in terms of precipitation averages for this time of year.

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NYC Weather Update – May 16, 2016

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Temperatures warm up during the course of this week, which is starting off with some fall-like dry, windy, and cool conditions. There’s a chance of rain tomorrow, but aside from this, the rest of the week should be mostly dry.

Rest of today – breezy with west winds around 25mph. Sunny with high temperatures maxing out in the mid-60s.

Tuesday – increasing clouds with a chance for rain during the afternoon and evening hours. High temperature in the mid-60s.

Wednesday – decreasing clouds with high temperatures around the mid-60s again.

Thursday – warmer with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the upper-60s and low-70s as high pressure takes over.

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Friday – best day of the week likely with high temperatures in the low-70s and lots of sun.

 

NYC Weekend Weather – May 14, 2016

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We have a stretch of decent weather ahead of us going into the early part of next week despite some rain. Rain comes this evening, and is possible Sunday. Windy conditions prevail Monday.

Rest of today – high temperature will be mild in the low-mid 70s with winds from the south. Later this evening, around 6PM, we should see a line of showers with some moderate or strong thunderstorms possible ahead of a cold front passing through. This batch of rain should push through by 9PM.

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Sunday – will be about 10ºF cooler with breezy west winds under mostly sunny skies. Clouds build in the afternoon with a slight chance for rain in the evening.

Monday – breezy west winds continue with a pressure gradient between a low pressure center over eastern Canada and high pressure to the south. Sunny, with high temperatures in the low-60s.

Tuesday – a few degrees warmer with highs in the mid-upper 60s, partly-mostly skies, and less wind.

 

NYC Weather Update – May 10, 2016

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What a difference a week makes in terms of the weather – we barely caught any sun last week, as we were dogged by several consecutive low pressure systems. This week, we’ve seen a shift in the jet stream and more high pressure in the picture, resulting in warmer temperatures and dry weather.

Rest of today – partly sunny with a small chance for showers later in the day and high temperatures in the mid-60s.

Wednesday – sunny, with high pressure in control, warm with temperatures in the low-mid 70s.

Thursday – another nice, sunny day, with high temperatures a shade cooler, in the low-70s.

Friday – the next chance for substantial precipitation comes along with a cold front arriving later in the day. Cloudy, with temperatures cooler in the mid-upper 60s.

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Sunny but still below average

Temperatures will be much warmer than last week, but we’re still going to be missing the mark for average (around 70ºF) for the next few days. 610temp.new

NYC Weekend Weather – Mother’s Day – May 6, 2016

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It has been a long week of cool, wet, and dreary weather, but the end is in sight. A series of pesky waves of low pressure and storms have been impacting the region. The last of these, a persistent cutoff low that has spun off a few bands of moderate to heavy rain earlier today, will slowly weaken get absorbed into an incoming frontal boundary. This should result in a decent Mother’s Day.

Rest of today – cool, cloudy, with a high in the low-mid 50s. Another round of round of rain looks to impact the region around 7PM this evening.

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Saturday – mostly cloudy, though there is a possibility of breaks in the clouds. Slight chance of some occasional showers, but nothing as heavy as today. High temperatures in the low-mid 60s.

Sunday (Mother’s Day) – starts off cloudy with a lingering chance for showers, but skies should clear fairly quickly later in the day, which should result in high temperatures in the mid-60s.

Monday – the first mostly sunny day we’ll have seen in over a week, with high temperatures in the mid-upper 60s.

NYC Weather Update – May 2, 2016

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This week will be marked by a prolonged period of unsettled weather with a chance of rain basically at any time during the week, giving May a rather dour start. However, the rain is very much needed as we are entering into the growing season with a deficit in overall rainfall. Due to the nearly continuous stretch of cloudy weather, temperatures are expected to be slightly below normal for this time of year.

Rest of today – cloudy and cool with high temperatures in the upper-50s and a chance for a scattered shower or thunderstorm through out the day.

Tuesday – overnight, a more substantial batch of rain will arrive with a wave of low pressure riding up the east coast along a nearly stationary frontal boundary. Unsettled weather continues during the day Tuesday, but chances for rain drop substantially in the afternoon. High temperatures will be a couple degrees warmer, in the low-60s.

Wednesday – we’re going to be sandwiched between the departing frontal boundary from Tuesday and another low pressure system over the Great Lakes. This will result in yet more clouds and a chance of showers during the day.

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Thursday – that low pressure over the Great Lakes transfers its energy to a low pressure that will form off the coast of the Delmarva going into Thursday. Then this coastal low will just kind of spin around aimlessly in our vicinity since it will be cutoff from steering currents. This means it will be the main driver of rain activity towards the end of the week. At any point, an impulse of energy rotating around this low could spin up a band of showers. Temperatures Thursday remain in the low-60s.

Friday – basically a clone of Thursday due to the aforementioned nearly stationary coastal low.