A sultry start to this week will lead to cooler and more pleasant weather as the week wears on. We have two chances for rain, overnight tonight and then overnight Wednesday. Overall, it appears to be a dry week, with another unsettled weekend coming up.

Rest of today – hot, humid, with high temperatures in the mid-90s. We could set or break a record for Central Park today at 95ºF. A cold front approaching later tonight could touch off some strong thunderstorms with the potential for heavy rain given the moist environment. The strongest storms will be limited to areas north of the city, away from the usualy stabilizing marine influence, and where wind shear profiles are stronger. Best timing for showers and thunderstorms will be 8PM tonight with a pre-frontal trough then early Tuesday morning with the actual cold front passing through.

Tuesday – behind this cold front, clouds should clear up, though tomorrow is still expected to be quite warm with high temperatures in the upper-80s. The main difference will be lower dew points that should result in a decidedly less muggy feel to the day.

Wednesday – warm with high temperatures in the mid-80s and partly sunny skies. A weak disturbance pushing through overnight may bring some rain.

Thursday – nice day with high temperatures in the low-80s. Cooler, refreshing Canadian high pressure will dominate.