Category Archives: Climate

NYC Weekend Weather – Mar 23, 2018

Climate, NYC, Rain, Snow, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , ,

Now that we have a record-breaking, snow-making, spring nor’easter behind us, we can finally start to look ahead to better, calmer weather. This weekend may not be entirely free of precipitation and will be colder than average, but it will still be a welcome reprieve. Looking ahead, there’s some chance we could see a true taste of spring with temps nearing the 60s late next week!

Rest of today – decreasing clouds as an area of high pressure starts to make its presence felt. High temperatures in the mid-40s.

Saturday – sunny, high temperatures in the mid-40s but with a chilly feel due to some northerly winds.

Sunday – high pressure breaks down and a storm system passes to our south but results in increased clouds. Temperatures in the low-40s as a result. Small chance for rain/snow possible due to the influence of the storm that hit us this week still stuck spinning out in the western North Atlantic.

Monday – high pressure builds again, yielding a sunny day with high temperatures in the mid-40s.

 

Warmer than Average April?

It’s been a rollercoaster temperature-wise in the Northeast to say the least over the last 3 months. January was bitterly cold and much below average. Then we experienced some record-breaking warmth in February, only to revert back to a colder than average month of March. Looking ahead, there are some signs from the Climate Prediction Center that we could experience a warmer than average April!

NYC Weekend Weather – Feb 2, 2017

Climate, NYC, Rain, Snow, Storms, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , , , , , , ,

The groundhogs have spoken. Our own Staten Island Chuck predicts an early spring, while his more famous counterpart Punxsutawney Phil predicts 6 more weeks of winter. Well, it certainly won’t feel like spring this coming weekend as we endure chilly conditions today and tomorrow before a slight warm up with a chance for precipitation Sunday.

Rest of today – clear, but windy with a northwest breeze 20-25 mph range. This will quickly sweep in much colder Arctic air via cold advection, and as a result temperatures will drop through the day from a high around 30°F.

Saturday – with overnight lows dropping into the teens, Saturday will likewise be a cold day with high temperatures only reaching around 30°F. Clouds will increase as the warm front associated with the next area of low pressure to hit the area moves in late in the day.

Sunday – with the warm front passing over us, winds turn to the southwest and warm advection will result in temperatures warming overnight into Sunday when high temperatures are expected to reach the low-40s. Precipitation in association with the cold front attached to the low pressure below will likely begin as all snow in the city before transitioning to a rain/snow mix or all rain with temperatures rising well above freezing. Little to no snow accumulation is expected – but the journey to and back from various Super Bowl related festivities will be messy.

Monday – things dry out and conditions improve as temperatures top out in the upper-30s with partly cloudy skies.

 

Chuck’s Wrong, Phil’s Right

Unfortunately for those of you who like warmer weather, Staten Island Chuck’s prediction of an early spring is likely to be off the mark. A progressive series of storm systems and an oscillating jet stream will bring multiple bouts of cold weather to the area before the winter’s out. Climate Prediction Center has our region in an area of 33% chance for below normal temperatures in their monthly outlook.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jan 5, 2018

Climate, NYC, Snow, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , , ,

Record-breaking cold to impact the region on the heels of the snowstorm that hit yesterday. Brutally cold weather lasts through the weekend before a thaw in temperatures pushes us back into normal ranges to start next week. Temperature trends likely to continue to above normal levels finally after a long cold spell. Snowfall totals in the city from yesterday generally ranged between 9-12″.

Rest of today – clear, windy, with a high in the mid-teens. Stiff west winds in the 20 mph range will make wind chills feel like -10ºF to -15ºF. A wind chill advisory is in effect for this reason.

Saturday – overnight lows in the single digits. Wind continues to be a factor blowing at 15-20 mph with record low day time temperatures likely to be broken. Highs only in the mid-teens again despite clear skies.

Sunday – with winds abating late Saturday and clear skies, excellent conditions for strong radiational cooling will exist. Overnight lows into Sunday maybe only as high as 5ºF. Clear and sunny with a high near 20ºF.

Monday – an approaching low from the west finally helps push temperatures back up in the upper-30s. Increasing clouds. Light snow and sleet possible overnight into Tuesday.

 

Warming Trend to Continue Next Week

We finally get a break from the brutal cold as the jet stream flattens out over the Eastern US next week, pushing this bitterly cold Arctic airmass north. Climate Prediction Center calls for 33% chances of above normal temperatures over the next 6-10 days. Normal highs are in the upper-30s. The 40s will feel downright balmy compared the the 20ºF below normal temperatures we’ve been seeing.

 

NYC Weather Update – Jun 5, 2017

Climate, NYC, Rain, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, , , , , , ,

The beginning of June sure won’t feel like summer with an extended period of unsettled weather through midweek due to the influence of a very slow moving set of low pressure centers. However, forecast models are trending towards a warm up towards the end of the week and going into the weekend.

Rest of today – mostly cloudy with high temperatures approaching 70ºF. Periods of rain possible later in the day along with a couple thunderstorms.

Tuesday – periods of showers likely throughout the day with temperatures much cooler in the mid-50s due to the influence of an onshore, northeasterly wind.

Wednesday – mostly cloudy again, with rain chances gradually diminishing. Cool, with temperatures in the low-60s.

Thursday – finally get a shift in winds away form the northeast. Partly sunny, and warmer with high temperatures near 70ºF.

 

Warmup Ahead

Climate Prediction Center forecasts for 6-10 days out show a pronounced warm up occurring over the Eastern US as high pressure starts to setup over the western Atlantic. This weekend should feature temperatures closer to normal in the upper-70s and low-80s.

 

NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 2, 2017

Climate, NYC, Rain, Storms, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , , , ,

This weekend will feature mostly sunny skies, seasonable, and pleasant conditions until late in the day Sunday when our next chance for rain moves in. The low pressure causing this next round of rain looks to linger well into mid-week next week, which will bring on several days of cool, cloudy, and rainy weather to contrast with the beginning of the weekend.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with some slight chance for scattered thunderstorms, most likely appearing west of NYC. High temperatures ranging in the mid-upper 70s.

Saturday – mild, pleasant, mostly sunny with high temperatures in the mid-70s. High pressure will be in control for a day.

Sunday – high pressure starts breaking down as the next storm system approaches. This storm system will be a complex and slow moving one. While the bulk of the moisture associated with this storm looks to stay offshore, we will still get multiple rounds of rain from it, beginning late Sunday. Temperatures will be a touch cooler in the low-70s with increasing clouds Sunday.

Monday – cloudy with temperatures in the low-70s, and periods of rain likely throughout the day. Kicks off a cooler and wetter than normal trend leading at least into mid-week.

NYC Weekend Weather – May 19, 2017

Climate, NYC, Rain, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , , , , , , ,

We’re well on pace to hit the low-90s again today, which would officially mark the first heat wave of 2017. The Bermuda high that led to these sultry conditions allowed us to heat up even more than official National Weather Service forecasts called for. Temperatures ranged 20ºF above normal in many places away from south facing shorelines. The weekend sees a drastic change in airmasses and a return to more seasonable conditions before the next chance for rain Monday.

Rest of today – hot, humid, high temperatures reaching the low-90s for most areas again except the south-facing shorelines of Long Island. Air quality has improved today so no alert is active. A cold front passes through the area later this evening, with a chance for isolated thunderstorms.

Saturday – the passage of the cold front late Friday sets the stage for a dramatic shift in airmasses. Behind the cold front, a high pressure center over Canada will bring much cooler air riding winds from the north and northeast. Temperatures Saturday are expected to cool off into the upper-60s, with much drier conditions and mostly sunny skies.

Sunday – another cool day with temperatures in the mid-60s and clouds building ahead of a warm front that will move through Monday.

Monday – a warm front, followed quickly by a cold front pushes through Monday. The result will be mostly cloudy skies and an extended period of showers through the day. Temperatures will be slightly warmer, in the low-70s.

 

 

NYC Weather Update – May 15, 2017

Climate, Drought, NYC, Weather Update, , , , , ,

Dramatic changes are in store for us this week with respect to the temperature. Mid-summer heat and humidity reach their apex on Thursday with high temperatures climbing into the mid-upper 80s except for areas affected by a sea breeze. For the first time in a while, we will see an extended stretch of dry weather.

Rest of today – very windy with northwest winds 25mph and higher gusts due to the pressure gradient between this weekend’s Nor’easter exiting east and high pressure building to to the west. Wind advisories are up for the city. High temperatures into the mid-60s.

Tuesday – sunny, and a warmup begins with temperatures climbing to the mid-70s.

Wednesday – warmer still, with lots of sun and high temperatures in the low-80s.

Thursday – the warmest day of the week with temperatures reaching well into the mid-upper 80s. High pressure from earlier in the week will slide southeast and eventually build over Bermuda. This is a classic setup that favors warm and humid conditions on the Eastern seaboard as warm air from the gulf and tropics rushes from the southwest clockwise around the high pressure.

 

Drought Completely Gone

For the first time in a year, no drought conditions existed anywhere in New York State.

NYC Weekend Weather – May 12, 2017

Climate, Noreaster, NYC, Rain, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , , , , , ,

Another rainy weekend on tap for the Tri-State area as a Nor’easter takes aim at the Mid-Atlantic and New England just in time to put a damper on Mother’s Day plans. Luckily for us, rain on actual Mother’s Day should be limited to the morning hours. Next week, we’re looking forward to a big warm up in temperatures.

Rest of today – partly sunny with high temperatures topping out in the low-60s.

Saturday – a Nor’easter moves in on the area overnight into Saturday. Expect raw, windy, rainy conditions for the duration of the day. There could be periods of moderate to heavy rain along with east/east-northeast winds in the 15mph with stronger gusts. High temperatures with the onshore flow, clouds, and rain only expected to reach the low-50s.

Sunday (Mother’s Day) – rains clear up earlier in the day, but we’re still left with a windy and cloudy day. The tradeoff is warmer temperatures in the mid-60s.

Monday – partly sunny skies with improving conditions and high temperatures in the mid-60s.

 

Warmup Ahead

Starting Tuesday, temperatures begin to warm up significantly with a shift in our weather pattern. A summer-like Bermuda high sets up and pumps in warm air from the south into the area, resulting in temperatures above to well-above normal (some 80s possible late week).

 

NYC Weather Update – Apr 17, 2017

Climate, Drought, NYC, Rain, Weather Update, , , , , , , ,

The incredible run of summer-like weather we’ve enjoyed the last week comes to a close as a more seasonable weather pattern takes hold this week. Temperatures will range from average to slightly below average and we’ll see a chance for rain late this week.

Tuesday – mostly clear skies with high temperatures in the upper-50s, possibly reaching into the low-60s. An easterly onshore breeze induced by a high pressure center to the northeast will bring cooler these cooler temperatures.

Wednesday – cooler day on tap with increasing clouds and high temperatures in the low-50s.

Thursday – chances for showers as a warm front then cold front push through from Thursday into Friday. High temperatures a bit warmer in the low-60s before the cold front passes.

Friday – chance of rain diminishing through the day with mostly cloudy skies and temperatures again in the low-60s.

 

Drought Over, Cooler, Wet Pattern in Store

With bountiful spring rains recently and that late winter snow storm, we’ve fully recovered from drought conditions across almost the entirety of the state with the exception of parts of the Hudson Valley and Catskills.

Multiple rounds of storms are expected to favor a cooler and wetter medium term outlook.

NYC Weekend Weather – Mar 31, 2017

Climate, NYC, Rain, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , ,

March ends on rainy note. It’s been a cooler and wetter month than average, after a much warmer February. The snow and rain has made significant positive impacts on the drought in this region. We get one good day this weekend, before more rain moves in to start the first week of April.

Rest of today – overcast, periods of rain, heavy at times due to a slow moving low pressure center. The heavier rains look to come later this evening into the overnight hours. Easterly and northeasterly winds will make it feel cooler than the high of around 40ºF.

Saturday – due to the slow pace of this storm, rain is still likely to be falling early tomorrow. High temperatures will remain well below normal due to the continued onshore easterly winds and cloud cover, only reaching the mid-40s.

Sunday – with the low pressure center finally exiting east, we should see dramatically improved conditions with highs rebounding to normal levels in the mid-50s and lots of sunshine.

Monday – starts off similar to Sunday with mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-50s. Conditions deteriorate later in the day as the next storm system starts moving in.

 

Average Temperatures, Above Average Precipitation to Start April

Due to the influence of several storm systems forecast to impact the area, we’re expecting normal temperatures and above average precipitation to start the month off.