Category Archives: Rain

NYC Weekend Weather – Apr 7, 2017

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After a week of alternating days of wet and windy weather, we look ahead to improving conditions over the weekend and leading into next week. Sunny days with temperatures averaging anywhere between 5-10ºF above normal are right around the corner.

Rest of today – one of the last days of cooler than average weather we’ll see for a while. Temperatures hover in the low-50s with mostly cloudy skies. There is a chance for a passing shower with instability and moisture in the atmosphere from the backside of yesterday’s storm exiting east.

Saturday – skies clear, though temperatures remain below normal with high temperatures in the low-50s.

Sunday – a warm up begins as high pressure builds to the south of us. Clockwise flow around this high pressure brings warmer air in from the southwest. Temperatures warm into the mid-60s with sunny skies.

Monday – superb conditions for the Yankee’s home opener with sunny skies and high temperatures in the upper-60s to about 70ºF and sunny skies.

 

 

Drought Busted

The many rounds of rain we’ve seen over the course of the last couple weeks have finally busted the remaining drought conditions in the city itself and Long Island, just in time for the start of the growing season. Moderate drought still persists further north in the Hudson Valley.

NYC Weather Update – Apr 3, 2017

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wwwThe first week of April kicks off with multiple rounds of rain. Two separate storms are expected to bring drenching rains on Tuesday and Thursday. There may be some minor flooding concerns with 1″ of rain possible out of each system, on top of the rains we received last week.

Rest of today – cloudy, mild, with high temperatures in the upper-50s. Not a bad day for the Mets season opener.

Tuesday – late Monday, rain starts moving in ahead of an advancing warm front. Rain should begin around 10PM this evening and pick up in intensity overnight. Some thunderstorms are possible. Rain continues through most of the work day Tuesday, with some heavy rain possible. Mild again with high temperatures in the upper-50s.

Wednesday – brief respite between two storm systems, a gem of a spring day with high temperatures in the low-60s and mostly sunny to clear skies.

Thursday – temperatures cool off into the low-50s as the second storm system of the week impacts us and brings us yet another round of moderate to heavy rains.

 

NYC Weekend Weather – Mar 31, 2017

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March ends on rainy note. It’s been a cooler and wetter month than average, after a much warmer February. The snow and rain has made significant positive impacts on the drought in this region. We get one good day this weekend, before more rain moves in to start the first week of April.

Rest of today – overcast, periods of rain, heavy at times due to a slow moving low pressure center. The heavier rains look to come later this evening into the overnight hours. Easterly and northeasterly winds will make it feel cooler than the high of around 40ºF.

Saturday – due to the slow pace of this storm, rain is still likely to be falling early tomorrow. High temperatures will remain well below normal due to the continued onshore easterly winds and cloud cover, only reaching the mid-40s.

Sunday – with the low pressure center finally exiting east, we should see dramatically improved conditions with highs rebounding to normal levels in the mid-50s and lots of sunshine.

Monday – starts off similar to Sunday with mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-50s. Conditions deteriorate later in the day as the next storm system starts moving in.

 

Average Temperatures, Above Average Precipitation to Start April

Due to the influence of several storm systems forecast to impact the area, we’re expecting normal temperatures and above average precipitation to start the month off.

NYC Weather Update – Mar 27, 2017

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Active weather pattern to start the week brings us multiple chances for rain. Things settle down mid-week, but another chance for rain comes up late week and into the weekend. Beneficial rains and the snow from the last Nor’easter has put a significant dent in drought conditions area wide. It looks like we’ve turned the corner legitimately towards spring with average to above-average temperatures expected for the foreseeable future.

Rest of today – rain tapering off by the early afternoon. Some clearing possible later. High temperatures in the mid-upper 50s.

Tuesday – mild, high temperatures around 60°F, slight chance for rain lingers throughout the day with a cold front approaching from the west.

Wednesday – rain is likely overnight Tuesday into Wednesday as this cold front moves through. On Wendesday itself, after the cold front pushes through, gradual improvement in weather conditions is expected with clouds breaking and a high in the mid-upper 50s.

Thursday – best day out of the week with high temperatures right around average in the low-50s and plenty of sunshine.

 

Temperature, Precipitation Trends and Drought Update

Over the course of the next week to week and a half, we’re expected to see average to slightly above average temperatures along with slightly above average rainfall. This bodes well for the overall drought situation which has seen marked improvement since the region received significant snowfall from the last Nor’easter and winter storm.

NYC Blizzard Update #2 – Mar 13, 2017

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The track of the imminent nor’easter and blizzard has continue to trend west of earlier model runs. This has introduced increasing uncertainty as to overall snowfall totals along the immediate coastal areas along with possible wintry mix/freezing rain. On the other hand, confidence is increasing in heavy snow for areas north and west of the city, with snowfall totals 18″+ looking likely.

Impacts – heavy snow north and west of the city, snowfall accumulations in the interior 16-20″+ looking likely. Sharp gradient in the heaviest snowfall totals approaching the coast where wintry mix, freezing rain, and even plain rain could mix in during the early afternoon Tuesday. The exact location of the extent of warm air intrusion off the ocean will ultimately determine the difference between routine totals over 1 foot and areas that receive much lower snowfall totals. The difference in some cases could be a matter of mere miles. This line could fall in and around NYC itself. Still expecting a period of blizzard or near blizzard conditions for NYC during the course of this storm even if a transition to mixed precipitation does occur. Snowfall totals could still pile up close to a foot or over prior to this transition. The possibility of freezing rain and ice introduces an additional hazard on the roads and when coupled with strong winds of 30-35mph and gusts 45mph+ could result in power outages.

Timing – light snow should begin to fall early into the overnight hours, progressively growing in intensity. In the city, overnight accumulations of 3-6″ possible, with a sharp increase in totals north and west. Heavy snow with sleet and wintry mix during the morning and early afternoon in the city, all snow in points north and west. Blowing and drifting snow with blizzard conditions possible. Snow begins to wind down during the evening hours.

Caveats – any further movement of the storm track west would result in drastically lower snowfall totals for NYC and points east along the coast. Correspondingly, an eastward shift of the storm track would put NYC itself squarely in the bullseye for the heaviest snows.

NYC Weather Update – Mar 6, 2017

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The week starts off with a thaw from the Arctic cold we experienced over the weekend. We settle into a familiar pattern of a warm front then cold front passage that will see temperatures swing up into the low-60s mid-week before dropping back to seasonable levels towards the late week period.4

Rest of today – mostly sunny, with winds now shifting to the south, high temperatures should reach into the low-40s.

Tuesday – much warmer with high temperatures in the mid-50s, mostly cloudy with a chance for rain due to a cold front approaching. Rain chances increase heading towards the overnight hours.

Wednesday – rain tapering off early, then conditions improving to mostly sunny. High temperatures still forecast to reach the low-60s before the cold front actually passes through.

Thursday – temperatures fall back into the mid-upper 40s behind the cold front with mostly sunny skies.

 

Return to Normal Temperatures to Last

Looking ahead, it appears in the medium term that temperatures will moderate into seasonable mid-40s or lower and stay that way until late in the month. We could see a couple more shots at accumulating snow during this stretch.

 

NYC Weather Update – Feb 27, 2017

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The beginning of this week will somewhat echo the end of last week, with temperatures starting off on the cooler side, then ramping up before the passage of a cold front that could also bring some thunderstorms. After this cold front passes, temperatures take a dive closer to normal levels.

Rest of today – increasing clouds will cap temperatures in the low-50s.

Tuesday – warmer but with increasing chances for rain during the day. High temperatures in the upper-50s.

Wednesday – during the early morning hours, a warm front associated with a low pressure center moving across southern Ontario will push through. This will set the stage for possibly record-breaking warmth during the day. Southwest flow will allow temperatures to steadily climb into the upper-60s and possibly over 70°F. Later in the day, a trailing cold front will make its approach. This will serve as a trigger for showers and thunderstorms to develop late in the day and into the early overnight hours. Some of the storms could approach marginally severe criteria.

Thursday – following the cold front passing through, winds shift to the northwest. This will result in much cooler temperatures dropping through the day into the upper-40s.

 

Cooler Weather Ahead

Looking ahead to the mid-month period, it does appear we may see some cooler than normal temperatures prior to the formal onset of spring.

NYC Weekend Weather – Feb 24, 2017

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Enjoy the spring like temperatures while they last. A strong cold front is set to pass through the area late Saturday. Behind this front, temperatures will return to the low-50s, and perhaps colder. Looking ahead for the next week or so, it appears we will see a cyclical pattern of warm weather ahead of storm systems followed by a rush of colder air.

Rest of today – mild, clear skies, high temperatures have already hit nearly 70°F. Overnight, temperatures drop into the low-50s.

Saturday – still quite warm, near 60°F, but with overcast skies and chances for precipitation ramping up through the afternoon hours. A line of moderate to heavy rain is expected to pass through sometime in the early evening hours. Some thunderstorms may be possible with this line of storms.

Sunday – behind this cold front Saturday, temperatures crash back to normal in the mid-40s wtih sunny skies.

Monday – slightly warmer, mostly sunny, with high pressure in control. High around 50°F.

NYC Weather Update – Feb 14, 2017

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After a wild week of weather last week, things are markedly calmer this week. Temperatures will stay slightly below normal for the duration of the week. We get only a very slight chance at precipitation on Wednesday, otherwise, dry conditions prevail.

Rest of today – a cloudy start to the day should give way to more sun later on. However, temperatures will still be just below normal with highs expected around 40ºF.

Wednesday – a storm system passing to the north will push a warm front through, raising temperatures into the mid-40s and also giving us a slight chance for rain. Mostly cloudy skies.

Thursday – once that trailing cold front pictured above moves through, temperatures once again drop to below normal levels in the upper-30s. Winds pick up from the northwest yielding even colder wind chills in the upper-20s.

Friday – sunnier, and less windy, but temperatures expected to remain below normal again in the upper-30s.

 

NYC Weekend Weather – Feb 10, 2017

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An eventful week of weather continues into the weekend, though not to the same degree of intensity. We will see another chance for snow, as well as rain this weekend. Temperatures rebound back to around or slightly above normal for the weekend. Looking ahead, there are some signals at another possible strong storm a couple weeks out, but it’s much to early to be certain.

Rest of today – cold, windy, sunny with areas of blowing snow. High temperatures below normal around 30ºF. Wind chills in the teens. Overnight tonight, we could pick up a light coating of fresh snow from a fast moving, and relatively weak storm system.

Below are some reported snowfall totals from yesterday’s coastal storm. As you’ll see, there was a fairly sharp cutoff between areas that received 9″ or more of snow. Long Island, Connecticut, and parts of the Hudson Valley got the largest totals. This was largely due to the fact that the most intense bands of heavy snow spent more time parked over these areas than it did in the city.

Saturday – conditions improving, along with warmer temperatures in the mid-40s under mostly cloudy skies.

Sunday – another storm system moves in from the Ohio Valley. This will bring a mixture of precipitation to the Northeast. Luckily, with high temperatures in the low-40s, we will see all rain.

Monday – winds pick up behind the departure of the storm system above, and skies should clear up as well. Temperatures should again be in the low-40s.