Category Archives: Weekend

NYC Weekend Weather – Feb 23, 2018

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A wet and unsettled weekend is coming up for NYC after a week that saw record-breaking warmth and large temperature swings. Back-to-back mid-latitude cyclones with their attendant warm and cold fronts will move through the area bringing a cloudy, gloomy feel, and plenty of chances for rain.

Rest of today – multiple rounds of rain showers possible through the morning and afternoon hours ahead of a warm front advancing from the southwest. Rain chances diminishing after around 6PM this evening. Overcast otherwise with a high temperature in the low-40s.

Saturday – overnight temperatures warming due to warm advection ahead of that warm front. We’ll end up in the warm sector of the first of these two mid-latitude cyclones on Saturday with high temperatures rising into the mid-upper 50s under mostly cloudy skies. Some chance for a scattered shower more likely later in the day as some post-frontal rain develops with a cold front exiting to the east.

Sunday – slightly cooler, high temperatures in the upper-40s. Another cloudy day, with rain continuing from overnight Saturday as first a warm front then a cold front moves through with this second storm system.

Monday – finally a dry day with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the mid-50s after this chain of storms!

NYC Weekend Weather – Feb 16, 2018

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This holiday weekend will feature some wild swings in temperature. We’ll bookend the weekend with chances for rain, but in between, we may see some decent accumulating snow. So much for an early spring.

Rest of today (Lunar New Year) – the year of the dog arrives on a cloudy day with temperatures dropping through the course of the day on the heels of a couple cold fronts pushing through. We have a break in the rain right now, but more will arrive later in the day. Winds turn to the northwest behind the front and increase in speed, bringing in a much colder air mass that will set the stage for snow on Saturday.

Saturday – much colder with temperatures topping out around 40°F after a very cold start. Increasing clouds as an area of low pressure developing off the Mid-Atlantic coast brings us the chance for accumulating snow. This coastal storm should be fairly fast mover, but forecasters think it will still bring enough precipitation to warrant a winter storm watch. The official forecasts are calling for a range of 4-8″ overnight Saturday into Sunday. Based on current forecast ensembles, I’m inclined to side with the lower end of that range and call for 4″ at best. As usual, the exact timing and track of this storm could still change a bit before the actual event. A slightly slower or slightly more northerly track would result in higher totals, and conversely a faster and more southerly track would result in only minor accumulations.

Sunday – warmer with high temperatures in the mid-40s and decreasing clouds. Whatever snow we get will begin to melt almost immediately.

Monday (President’s Day) – warmer still with high temperatures in the low-50s and chances for rain as a warm front approaches.

 

 

 

 

NYC Weather Update – Feb 12, 2018

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After a soaking rain this weekend, we start the week off with cooler, drier conditions. Temperatures ramp up going into mid-week before the next chance for precipitation hits us Thursday.

Rest of today – decreasing clouds as high pressure builds behind the cold front that passed through earlier today. High temperatures in the low-40s dropping through the course of the day.

Tuesday – mostly sunny with high temperatures in the mid-30s.

Wednesday – milder with high temperatures in the upper-40s and increasing clouds late in the day.

Thursday – a surge of warm air ahead of the next cold front to hit the area will raise temperatures well into the 50s, possibly as high as 60°F but with a chance for showers and mostly cloudy skies.

NYC Weekend Weather – Feb 9, 2017

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Cold start to this weekend gives way to a milder feel but a soaker of a day Sunday. Going into next week, much of the week will see above average temperatures.

Rest of today – increasing low-level clouds associated with warm air advecting from the south ahead of a warm front. Temperatures still on the cool side during the day with high temperatures in the mid-30s.

Saturday – overnight temperatures actually start to rise as warm advection really takes hold. High temperatures will substantially warmer near 50°F. Cloudy with increasing chances for rain as a cold front approaches from the west.

Sunday – the cold front above will stall in our vicinity, with tropical moisture surging along this frontal boundary. This will result in multiple rounds of moderate to heavy rain. Temperatures will be in the low-50s.

Monday – cooler but still decent with decreasing clouds and high temperatures in the mid-40s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Feb 2, 2017

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The groundhogs have spoken. Our own Staten Island Chuck predicts an early spring, while his more famous counterpart Punxsutawney Phil predicts 6 more weeks of winter. Well, it certainly won’t feel like spring this coming weekend as we endure chilly conditions today and tomorrow before a slight warm up with a chance for precipitation Sunday.

Rest of today – clear, but windy with a northwest breeze 20-25 mph range. This will quickly sweep in much colder Arctic air via cold advection, and as a result temperatures will drop through the day from a high around 30°F.

Saturday – with overnight lows dropping into the teens, Saturday will likewise be a cold day with high temperatures only reaching around 30°F. Clouds will increase as the warm front associated with the next area of low pressure to hit the area moves in late in the day.

Sunday – with the warm front passing over us, winds turn to the southwest and warm advection will result in temperatures warming overnight into Sunday when high temperatures are expected to reach the low-40s. Precipitation in association with the cold front attached to the low pressure below will likely begin as all snow in the city before transitioning to a rain/snow mix or all rain with temperatures rising well above freezing. Little to no snow accumulation is expected – but the journey to and back from various Super Bowl related festivities will be messy.

Monday – things dry out and conditions improve as temperatures top out in the upper-30s with partly cloudy skies.

 

Chuck’s Wrong, Phil’s Right

Unfortunately for those of you who like warmer weather, Staten Island Chuck’s prediction of an early spring is likely to be off the mark. A progressive series of storm systems and an oscillating jet stream will bring multiple bouts of cold weather to the area before the winter’s out. Climate Prediction Center has our region in an area of 33% chance for below normal temperatures in their monthly outlook.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jan 26, 2018

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We follow the general pattern of last weekend with a warm up occurring, accompanied by some rain on Sunday. Temperatures cool off again to begin next week. Snow is possible late Monday into early Tuesday.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with highs in the mid-30s. A warm front pushes through and winds shift to the southwest, setting the stage for much warmer temperatures over the weekend.

Saturday – a gem of a day with high temperatures in and around 50°F and sunny skies.

Sunday – showers as a cold front pushes through. Temperatures still warm in and around 50°F. Mostly cloudy otherwise. 

Monday – temperatures cool back off into the low-40s after the passage of the cold front bringing rain on Sunday.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jan 19, 2018

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The relatively minor cold spell we’ve had this week transitions into a dramatic warm up going into the weekend. Above normal temperatures will persist into the beginning of next week before moderating later in the week. We have a chance for a soaking rain beginning Monday night going into Tuesday.

Rest of today – partly sunny with some gradual clearing later. High temperatures in the upper-30s to around 40ºF.

Saturday – much warmer due to a dramatic shift in the jet stream with high temperatures around 50ºF with warm air rushing in from the south and west ahead of a frontal boundary. The polar jet that’s brought a return of cold air to the region will be pushed considerably further north of us with high pressure building to the southwest. This is a setup favoring much warmer air flowing in from the south and west.

Sunday – a backdoor cold front will sweep in from the northeast, bringing cooler, more moist air from the Canadian Maritimes, leading to high temperatures in the mid-40s. Mostly sunny.

Monday – cloudy with a high in the low-40s and increasing chances of rain as a vigorous low pressure system approaches from the southwest.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jan 12, 2018

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Abrupt changes are the name of the game this weekend. Temperatures start off with  near or above record breaking warmth before plunging right back into below average Arctic chill. Cold air sticks with us well into next week.

Rest of today – areas of dense fog as snowpack melts and warm air surging from the south moves over it (advection fog). This will be accompanied by several bouts of moderate to heavy rain starting later this morning and late this afternoon as well. Overcast skies, with temperatures well into the upper-50s with 60°F or even above for a spot or two entirely possible while we remain in the warm sector.

All of this precipitation on the high resolution rapid refresh simulated radar will be making its way from southwest to northeast across our region today and tomorrow.

Saturday – another shot of moderate to heavy rain overnight into the early morning hours. High temperatures in the mid-40s anticipated early on with temperatures steadily falling the rest of the day. Overnight lows into Sunday only in the mid-teens! This is due to very cold air rushing back into the area after the passage of this cold front bringing us the rain.

Sunday – mostly sunny with high temperatures in the upper-20s.

Monday – partly sunny with highs nearing 30°F.

 

NYC Weekend Weather – Jan 5, 2018

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Record-breaking cold to impact the region on the heels of the snowstorm that hit yesterday. Brutally cold weather lasts through the weekend before a thaw in temperatures pushes us back into normal ranges to start next week. Temperature trends likely to continue to above normal levels finally after a long cold spell. Snowfall totals in the city from yesterday generally ranged between 9-12″.

Rest of today – clear, windy, with a high in the mid-teens. Stiff west winds in the 20 mph range will make wind chills feel like -10ºF to -15ºF. A wind chill advisory is in effect for this reason.

Saturday – overnight lows in the single digits. Wind continues to be a factor blowing at 15-20 mph with record low day time temperatures likely to be broken. Highs only in the mid-teens again despite clear skies.

Sunday – with winds abating late Saturday and clear skies, excellent conditions for strong radiational cooling will exist. Overnight lows into Sunday maybe only as high as 5ºF. Clear and sunny with a high near 20ºF.

Monday – an approaching low from the west finally helps push temperatures back up in the upper-30s. Increasing clouds. Light snow and sleet possible overnight into Tuesday.

 

Warming Trend to Continue Next Week

We finally get a break from the brutal cold as the jet stream flattens out over the Eastern US next week, pushing this bitterly cold Arctic airmass north. Climate Prediction Center calls for 33% chances of above normal temperatures over the next 6-10 days. Normal highs are in the upper-30s. The 40s will feel downright balmy compared the the 20ºF below normal temperatures we’ve been seeing.

 

NYC New Year’s Eve Weather – Dec 29, 2017

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A light snow tops off 2017. The new year comes with a continued stretch of arctic cold. Make sure to bundle up for your New Year’s Eve festivities as this may be one of the coldest nights we’ve seen. Cold extends well into next week where we could see a more substantial snow storm.

Rest of today – increasing clouds, cold, with high temperatures in the low-20s.

Saturday – a weak storm system moving from the Great Lakes and a secondary coastal low should bring a light snowfall of 1-2″ in the city. High temperatures in the mid-20s.

Sunday (New Year’s Eve) – Arctic high pressure returns with a vengeance. High temperatures around 20°F, with mostly sunny skies.

Monday (New Year’s Day) – bitterly cold temperatures overnight hovering in the low teens. Wind chill will make frostbite a real issue. High temperatures Monday struggle to break even 20°F.