Category Archives: Weekend

NYC Christmas Weekend Weather – Dec 21, 2017

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Those of you hoping for a white Christmas will be disappointed to know that we’ll instead probably be getting a rainy weekend. There is still some small chance for snow mixed with rain Christmas Day, but the white stuff won’t be sticking. While temperatures will warm up this first weekend of the official start of winter, they will plummet considerably after Christmas. Looking into long-range forecast models, there are some indications for what could be winter storms for the first couple weekends of January.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with some thin clouds, but cool with high temperatures in about 40°F.

Saturday – overnight into tomorrow, a warm front will be pushing through associated with the first of two storms affecting the area this holiday weekend. Light rain will precede this frontal passage overnight, then warmer air and steadier precipitation should affect the area during the day Saturday. High temperatures will be much warmer, around 50°F.

Sunday – once the cold front depicted above moves through, we will get a calm day on Sunday with high temperatures dropping back into the mid-40s with mostly sunny skies.

Monday (Christmas Day) – another area of low pressure will develop along the cold front that pushes into the Atlantic. This low will track close enough to the Northeast to bring some chance for a passing snow shower early in the day Monday with much colder air rushing in from the northwest. High temperatures should be in the low-40s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Dec 15, 2017

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A very cold start to the weekend with light snow accumulations will give way to a warming trend that carries over to the beginning of next week. During this time, we’ll see temperatures go from much below average to above average.

Rest of today – snow beginning around 2PM today and lasting through the evening rush hour with generally 1-2″ of accumulations expected in the city. Cloudy otherwise with high temperatures holding steady in the upper-20s to around 30ºF. The cause of the snow is a strengthening coastal low. This low will pass close enough that a shield of decent snowfall hits the area for several hours this afternoon.

Saturday – another cold night with overnight lows in the mid-20s in the city before sunny conditions help propel temperatures into the upper-30s.

Sunday – very similar day to Saturday with high temperatures again in the upper-30s and mostly sunny conditions.

Monday – chance of light rain/snow mix overnight due to a passing warm front. Behind the warm front, temperatures reach well into the mid-40s with partly sunny skies.

NYC Weekend Weather – Dec 8, 2017

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The weather headline for this weekend will be our first accumulating snow of the season! Aside from this, below average and cold temperatures will be in place throughout the weekend and well into next week. This persistent cold spell has a direct link to high pressure over the western US that has resulted in fires in California. Another chance for additional accumulating snow is possible early next week.

Rest of today – high temperatures in the low-40s with mostly cloudy skies. Snow beginning in the overnight hours into tomorrow.

Saturday – snow throughout the day, accumulations of largely between 2-4″ during the day expected in the city, but with higher totals moving east, in the 4-6″ range for parts of Queens, and Brooklyn. High temperatures in the low-30s.

A coastal storm will develop and strengthen off the Southeast coast as an upper level shortwave and a jet streak work to enhance it. The jet streak in particular will provide strong lift for the development of snow showers. Thermal profiles throughout the atmosphere in our region will support all snow. Model trends seem to continue nudging the track westward over the past couple of days. Further shifts west would result in higher snowfall totals, which are suggested by the GEFs plumes in the last image in this section that point a range of 6-8″ of snow for LGA.

Weather Prediction Center surface low tracks and clusters. Focus on the coastal low track. The mean track takes this storm very close to the 40°N 70°W benchmark, a location for coastal low centers that generally translates to robust snowfall for winter storms.

Sunday – an additional accumulation of an inch or so is forecast overnight Saturday as snow begins tapering off going into Sunday. As the low pulls away, winds will turn to the west and strengthen. High temperatures will actually be somewhat warmer in the upper-30s with mostly sunny skies.

Monday – mostly sunny skies again with high temperatures around 40°F.

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 24, 2017

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Temperatures this weekend will be largely around normal levels for this time of year, with the exception of Saturday. Warm advection will precede the passage of cold front. This frontal boundary does not look like it will have much moisture to work with. Travel conditions are expected to be trouble-free for those returning from the Thanksgiving break.

Rest of today – sunny with high temperatures around 50°F. Light winds shifting from west to south.

Saturday – temperatures warming into the upper-50s as a result of continuing warm winds from the southwest. Increasing clouds with the approach of a cold front. The best chance for precipitation with this front will be late in the day or in the overnight hours. Limited moisture will mean that this is not a washout.

Sunday – behind the cold front, winds once again shift back to the northwest, resulting in cooler temperatures in the 50°F. Sunny and breezy otherwise.

Monday – on the cool side again with high temperatures in the upper-40s and mostly sunny skies.

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 17, 2017

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A cool Friday and Friday night yields to a rainy, though milder weekend. A return to largely below normal temperatures to start the week. Looking ahead into next week, weather conditions should be fair and without disruptions for the busy travel days around Thanksgiving.

Rest of today – sunny, cool and windy with high temperatures in the upper-40s. Northwest winds 15-20 mph with higher gusts though diminishing as the day progresses.

Saturday – increasing clouds as a warm front attached to a low pressure center over the Great Lakes approaches the area. Increasing clouds as winds shift to a warmer and wetter southerly direction. Chances for rain increasing through the day, with mostly cloudy skies otherwise and high temperatures in the upper-50s.

Sunday – rain chances are highest overnight from Saturday into Sunday. Low temperatures should be on the warm side near 50°F. Rain continues into Sunday morning prior to the passage of the cold front pictured above. Once that cold front pushes through, clouds should gradually break. High temperatures are anticipated to reach in the mid-50s again. However, on the back side of the cold front, we’ll see fairly strong winds returning from the northwest with a large pressure gradient. This will lead to temperatures dropping back into the 40s by the evening.

Monday – sunny skies but much cooler again with high temperatures in the mid-40s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 10, 2017

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Get ready for record-breaking cold and a blast of deep winter tonight. The cold spell slowly abates over the course of the weekend, but even by Monday, high temperatures are still anticipated to be below normal for this time of year. There is a chance for precipitation on Sunday night with the passage of a weak disturbance.

Rest of today – we’ve already reached today’s daytime high of about 40°F and temperatures will be falling throughout the rest of the day. An arctic front is passing over us now, in its wake, strong cold advection (transport) is ongoing as a continental polar airmass from northern Canada dives down into the area. A high pressure center over Minnesota is also creating a fairly strong pressure gradient with a low pressure system in central Quebec. This will result in breezy conditions with winds from the northwest at around 25 mph and gusts over 40 mph. Wind chill values will fall from the 30s into the 20s.

Strong cold advection is ongoing behind the arctic front. Temperatures are dropping by as much as 2.5-3°F per hour in the Northeast.

Saturday (Veterans Day) – overnight lows going into Saturday are forecast to plummet to record-breaking levels in the low-20s. The high pressure pictured above will be moving closer to us, decreasing the pressure gradient and reducing the winds here. Temperatures should top out around 40°F with lots of sun. It will be a chilly, but sunny day for the Veterans Day Parade.

Sunday – temperatures continue to warm into the upper-40 with increasing clouds.

Monday – some uncertainty exists about the possibility of precipitation overnight into Monday. High temperatures will finally be approaching normal for this time of year with highs in the low-50s and mostly cloudy skies.

NYC Weather Update – Nov 6, 2017

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After a brief warm spell, we are looking at a full week ahead of average to below average temperatures. A distinct fall feel has come just as we ended Daylight Saving Time. The best chances for rain are at the beginning of the week.

Rest of today – high temperatures into the mid-60s ahead of an advancing cold front. This cold front will carry with it the chance for some showers later today. Mostly cloudy otherwise.

Tuesday – once the cold front passes us, winds will turn rather quickly northwest, bringing much cooler air into the region. High temperatures will likely be in the low-50s with partly sunny skies.

Wednesday – this frontal boundary from early in the week will stall out south of us. This will allow multiple shortwaves to ride up the frontal boundary, giving us a slight chance of rain overnight Tuesday into Wednesday. High temperatures will again be on the cool side, only in the low-50s with mostly cloudy skies.

Thrusday – a tad bit warmer, with a mix of clouds and sun and high temperatures in the mid-50s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 3, 2017

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This weekend’s weather will be a tale of contrasting temperatures and airmasses. The week ends with warm temperatures more than 10°F above normal. A cold front sweeps through and fall returns for the weekend itself, but another warm up takes place leading into Monday. Also, Daylight Saving Time ends at 2AM Sunday.

Rest of today – increasing clouds for the day. Warm with high temperatures in the mid-70s. Yesterday, a warm front pushed through, putting us in the warm sector associated with a low pressure now over northeastern Quebec.

Saturday – quite a different feel tomorrow once this cold front below moves through the area. Winds will become onshore from the east, bring much cooler air. High temperatures are expected to top out only in the upper-50s with sunny skies (around normal for this time of year).

Sunday – there’s a chance of showers overnight Saturday into Sunday associated with the next storm system to impact the area. An advancing warm front is expected to bring light, stratiform rain ahead of it. Temperatures will be warmer, in the mid-60s with mostly cloudy skies.

Monday – the familiar pattern of warm front followed by cold front continues Monday. We’ll again be in the warm sector with temperatures peaking at about 70°F. Rain should accompany the passage of this cold front.

NYC Weekend Weather – Oct 27, 2017

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The weekend starts with beautiful, sunny, fall weather. We see a slight warm up but this will be accompanied with rounds of rain beginning overnight Sunday going into Monday. Temperatures return to normal levels to start the week.

Rest of today – sunny with high temperatures in the low-60s.

Saturday – sunny and slightly warmer with temperatures in the upper-70s. Robust southerly flow ahead of an advancing cold front associated with a weakening low pressure system will push warmer, and more moist air over the region.

Sunday – this southerly winds will set the stage for a wet and windy Sunday. As the cold front nears and lift is maximized, we could even get a shot at some thunderstorms. Winds should be in the 15-20 mph range with stronger gusts over 30 mph. Temperatures will remain in the upper-60s. We could pick up between 1-2 inches of rain.

Monday – a tropical system currently offshore of Nicaragua will likely get picked up by this long cold front mentioned above. As it moves north along the frontal boundary, it will provide a reinforcing shot of energy to the dissipating low. Rain could still be ongoing at the outset of the day as a result, though it should taper off fairly quickly as this storm system moves off east. Temperatures will be on the cool side, with winds shifting to the north behind this storm system. Highs only in the upper-50s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Oct 20, 2017

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High pressure continues to exert its influence over the region through the weekend and into the beginning of next week. Temperatures will be quite mild and about 10°F above normal for this time of year. Ideal viewing conditions exist for the Orionid meteor showers.

Rest of today – sunny and mild with highs in the low-mid 70s despite northwest winds.

Saturday – similar setup as today. Sunny with highs in the low-mid 70s. Winds shift to the south as high pressure moves east and offshore.

Thanks to this persistent area of high pressure over the eastern US, we’ve a long bout of sunny and dry weather that continues through the weekend.

Sunday – mild and mostly sunny with high temperatures again in the low-mid 70s.

Monday – increasing clouds and slightly warmer with highs in the mid-70s. We’ll be in the warm sector ahead of an advancing, slow-moving frontal boundary. This feature will bring our next and much needed chance at precipitation into Tuesday.

Orionid meteor showers
These will be peaking over the weekend. Look towards the constellation Orion during the overnight hours with best conditions at around 2AM. Astronomers are expecting a peak of 15-20 meteors per minute radiating from this constellation. The meteors are actually fragments of Halley’s comet, which approaches perihelion (closest pass to the sun) next in 2061. If you’re lucky enough to get away from light pollution, you won’t have any moonlight to contend with either. Sky conditions will be ideal this weekend.