Tag Archives: cold front

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 5, 2015

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The warm trend we’ve enjoyed this week comes to an abrupt halt over the weekend as we return to seasonable highs in the upper-50s. We are due to enjoy a couple more days of much above average warmth beforehand, as we’re now in the warm sector south of a warm front that has pushed through and west of a cold front due in late Friday and into the overnight hours Saturday.

Rest of today – mostly cloudy with a high in the upper-60s. A slight chance of rain especially later in the afternoon.

Friday – we’ll be firmly within the warm sector tomorrow with a steady southwesterly flow. Warm air will work its way into the area and yield near record-breaking temperatures in the mid-70s, and possibly even warmer if there are any breaks for sun. There will be another chance at rain tomorrow afternoon and evening as the cold front nears and passes through.  noaad2

Saturday – a marked change in sensible weather is on tap for Saturday once the cold front passes through the region. Skies should clear from west to east over the day, but high temperatures will only be in the low-60s.

Sunday – even cooler, with highs only in the mid-50s under sunny skies.

NYC Weather Update – Oct 26, 2015

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The weather story this week will feature a storm system that will be drawing on the remnant moisture from Hurricane Patricia and producing some heavy rain on Wednesday as it passes through the region. Aside from a wet day Wednesday, the remainder of the week looks to be dry with decently warm temperatures.

Rest of today – clear with high temperatures near 60.

Tuesday – mostly sunny with clouds increasing later in the day. High temperatures again near 60.

Wednesday – a low pressure center is expected to form over the Great Lakes region and strengthen Wednesday. A warm front attached to this low pressure center will pass through the region late Wednesday. Increasing chance for more widespread rain as the day progresses with a high temperature in the mid-60s. Some urban flooding could occur. Most of the heaviest rain will likely be falling in the late evening and overnight hours.gfs_namer_054_1000_850_thick

Thursday – could see a few showers in the morning, but then skies should begin to clear and allow for temperatures to warm up into the mid-60s again before a cold front drops through.

 

Drought Update

We’re hoping for the rains Wednesday to make a dent in the stubborn moderate drought that continues to cling to the metro area, in particular Long Island.

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NYC Weekend Weather – Oct 22, 2015

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The warm spell that we’ve enjoyed in the city up to this point will be ending tomorrow. While temperatures will cool off this weekend, we won’t be seeing anything close to the chilly lows we saw last weekend. We’ll have good weather Saturday before another cold front pushes through late Saturday into Sunday, which could spark off a few showers.

Rest of today – temperatures are surging into the mid-70s ahead of a cold front that will push through later today and overnight. There could be a small chance for showers associated with this cold front later, though it’s more likely this front will be dry.

Friday – high pressure builds behind this passing cold front. Cooler temperatures with highs only around 60 in the wake of this cold front despite plenty of sunshine.

Saturday – temperatures will be similar to Friday, but with clouds on the increase as another cold front approaches late Saturday. Some showers may occur with this cold front passing through overnight into Sunday morning.

Sunday – warmer with high temperatures in the mid-60s before the cold front passes. A chance of showers early, and the mostly cloudy.

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Fall Foliage

This weekend should have good conditions for anyone traveling upstate apple picking or viewing fall colors. Check out this map to see where the foliage has peaked.

NYC Weekend Weather – Oct 15, 2015

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If you like crisp, cool, fall weather, then this coming weekend is for you. Following a cold front moving through tonight into tomorrow, temperatures this weekend will feel more like November than October, with highs only in the low-50s on Sunday. Depending on wind conditions, this Sunday and Monday morning may see the first frosts/freezes of the season. The cooler than normal temperature trend continues into Monday, but warmer temperatures return by mid-week next week.

Rest of today – an archetypal fall day with high temperatures right around normal in the mid-60s and a clear sky.

Friday – mostly cloudy to start the day with some very small chance at rain as a cold front passes over. Once the front clears the region, skies should clear and temperatures will actually be a bit warmer in the mid-upper 60s.

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Saturday – behind the cold front passing on Friday, temperatures take a plunge with gusty northwest winds flowing around an area of high pressure building to our west. High temperatures will probably not break 60ºF in the city, even cooler in the outlying suburbs.

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Sunday –  the airmass associated with this high pressure will likely set off the first snows of the season in parts of the Upper Midwest. Not surprisingly, this will translate to chilly temperatures Saturday night, Sunday and Monday. Lows overnight into Sunday will be in the upper-30s in the city (brrr). Frost may develop on Sunday morning in interior areas, ending the growing season. High temperatures Sunday will struggle to hit the mid-50s in the city.

Monday – basically a repeat of Sunday, same crisp, cool conditions with high temperatures in the mid-50s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Oct 7, 2015

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The three day weekend ahead will feature some idyllic autumn weather with plenty of sun for outdoor activities if you’re heading out of town on a getaway. The only blemish in this otherwise stretch of superb weather will be a round of showers and thunderstorms entering the city Friday afternoon and passing through Friday night.

Rest of today – we’re starting off with mostly cloudy skies, but skies should clear rapidly within the next couple hours. After that, we get a mostly sunny afternoon with high temperatures near 70. Clouds re-enter the picture later this evening in advance of an approaching disturbance that will bring us rain on Friday.

Friday – overnight tonight, a warm front will push through the area, such that by Friday morning, winds will switch to the southwest. This will allow for warm air to surge up ahead of a cold front that will be passing through Friday night. This setup is favorable for the possible development of thunderstorms ahead of the cold front. Chances for rain increase steadily Friday into Friday night. Otherwise, mostly cloudy skies with high temperatures in the upper-70s to near 80.

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Saturday – the cold front moves quickly through the area Friday and by Saturday, skies should clear up, while temperatures cool off into the mid-60s.

Sunday – another picture perfect autumn day with high temperatures in the mid-60s and ample sunshine.

Monday (Columbus Day) – stretch of nice weather continues into Columbus Day, with temperatures slightly warmer in the upper-60s to around 70.

Drought Update

The drenching rains two weeks ago helped alleviate drought conditions over large portions of the Northeast. However, moderate drought conditions stubbornly persist in the NYC metro area, especially in Long Island.

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NYC Weekend Weather – Sept 10, 2015

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Some much needed rain is falling today, with another round of rain coming this weekend. Friday and Saturday look to be the best days out of the stretch, while Sunday has the best chances for rain. The tradeoff for this wet weather will be noticeably less humid, cooler, and more seasonable conditions to start off next week.

Rest of today – we are currently in a dry pocket which should last through the late afternoon hours. The cold front that is initiating these showers and scattered thunderstorms will be slow to move through. A low pressure center that is riding along the frontal boundary is currently parked over us, and as this low continues to move off to the northeast, additional rain is expected develop and wrap around the backside of the low. With this low and the front lingering, we will likely get another round of widespread showers with some heavy downpours possible again later this evening and into the overnight hours. With the rain and cloud cover, highs will only reach the upper-70s before dropping back down.

Friday – once the low pressure and cold front have passed, conditions should begin to improve quickly. There’s a lingering chance for showers in the morning, but by the afternoon hours skies should be clearing with high temperatures around 80.

Saturday – another cold front and low pressure will follow on the heels of today’s system. The timing of precipitation with this system appears to be trending towards late Saturday evening, and primarily overnight into Sunday. This should allow for a mostly sunny day with temperatures again around 80.

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Sunday – showers appear to be likely on Sunday, with an isolated thunderstorm possible as well. High temperatures will be in the upper-70s with the clouds and rain.

Monday – once the storm system passes on Sunday, high pressure building to our southwest will allow cool, dry air from Canada to flow into the area, resulting in temperatures again in the upper-70s, but with mostly clear skies.

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NYC Weather Update – Sept 8, 2015

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Another steamy beginning to week is following on the heels of Labor Day. Today and Wednesday are both days when the temperature could top 90ºF. By Thursday, a strong cold front moves through, bringing the potential for much needed rain and cooling things off considerably for the end of the week.

Rest of today – sunny, hot and humid, high temperatures in the low-mid 90s in the city. Humidity remains just low enough to obviate the need for any excessive heat watches/warnings.

Wednesday – increasing clouds from west to east on Wednesday ahead of an approaching cold front. Temperatures remain warm ahead of the front, generally in the upper-80s with maybe a couple spots topping 90. There could be a few pop up showers and thunderstorms later in the afternoon, perhaps along a sea breeze front in Brooklyn/Queens.

Thursday – widespread showers and thunderstorms will be the order of the day, with cooler temperatures in the low-80s and cloudy conditions. Periods of showers and thunderstorms could persist for extended periods of time, bringing the potential for flash flooding in some locations. Rain ends from west to east gradually during the overnight hours.

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NYC Labor Day Weekend Weather – Sept 3, 2015

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The holiday weekend opens up with a break in the heat, but the relief doesn’t last long before the heat gets turned back on in time for Labor Day itself. We get a chance for a few scattered thunderstorms overnight tonight. Otherwise, dry conditions prevail over the medium to long term.

Rest of today – hot and humid with highs in the low-90s under hazy and cloudy skies.

Friday – a cold front forecast to pass through the area from the north tonight could touch off only a few scattered thunderstorms, since conditions are unfavorable for widespread coverage. The day starts off overcast but as cooler, relatively drier air moves in behind the cold front, skies should begin to clear from east to west. High temperatures will be significantly cooler in the low-80s.

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Saturday – the break in the heat gives us probably the best day of the weekend with comfortable high temperatures in the low-80s and lower humidity along with plenty of sun. This is due to high pressure building over the area.

Sunday – as the high pressure moves offshore and southeast, it allows a warmer, more humid tropical airmass back into the region, heralding a return to very similar weather conditions as what we’ve experienced this week. Highs will climb back up into the upper-80s under sunny skies.

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Labor Day (Monday) – the heat and humidity persists, giving the Caribbean Day Parade an appropriately tropical feel. Temperatures should again reach into the upper-80s with mostly sunny skies.

NYC Weather Update – Aug 31, 2015

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A heat wave is on for the end of August, and will persist into the beginning of September. A hot, humid tropical airmass will be firmly in control through out the early and mid-week period before we get some heat relief late in the week. The hot temperatures and a lack of widespread precipitation may allow drought to redevelop in some parts of the region, and worsen over Long Island.

Rest of today – possibly the hottest day of the week, with temperatures in the low-mid 90s inland despite some cloud cover and uncomfortable humidity levels.

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Tuesday – a weak backdoor cold front pushes through overnight, although no precipitation is anticipated due to insufficient instability. Tomorrow should see high temperatures in the lower 90s again under sunnier skies.

Wednesday – the heat wave continues with temperatures yet again expected to top out in the low-mid 90s with sunny skies. There could be a few isolated pop-up showers/thunderstorms late in the day with very limited coverage.

Thursday – expected to be the last day of the heat wave, sunny with high temperatures at or above 90.

NYC Weather Update – Aug 23, 2015

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A slow moving cold front brings an unsettled start to the week. Ahead of this cold front, temperatures will rise along with humidity, leading to a late-summer feel. Once this frontal boundary passes, high pressure to the west will allow for a cooler, drier Canadian airmass to enter the region, leading to more seasonable temperatures along with sunny skies.

Rest of today – a mix of sun and clouds continues with a small chance of some rain, with temperatures topping out around average in the low-80s.

Monday – as a cold front approaches from the west, humidity and temperatures will rise along with a south wind. There is some small chance for thunderstorms, especially west of the Hudson. Otherwise, expect a mix of sun and clouds with temperatures in the mid-80s.

Tuesday – with the cold front lingering in our vicinity, a small chance for showers and thunderstorms continues, along with warm and humid temperatures in the mid-upper 80s.

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Wednesday – the cold front finally pushes through Tuesday, and gives way to high pressure building in from the west on Wednesday. This will lead to comfortable temperatures in the low-80s with sunny skies.

Thursday – similar conditions to Wednesday, with sunny skies and a pleasant, comfortable high in the low-80s.

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A Note on the Tropics

We’re about to enter the most active period of the Atlantic hurricane season, and things have definitely picked up in the tropics. A series of monsoonal tropical waves are moving off of the cost of West Africa, giving rise to the potential for a couple of Cape Verde type tropical cyclones. This conveyor belt of tropical waves has already spawned this season’s first hurricane, Danny, which peaked as a major hurricane with winds of 115mph (Category 3) at the end of last week. Danny has weakened considerably, but could still bring some much needed rain to Hispaniola and Puerto Rico in the next couple days. Meanwhile, another tropical wave following on Danny’s footsteps could become Tropical Storm Erika in the coming days. Neither of these storms poses any immediate threat to the United States for the time being.

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