Tag Archives: new york city weekend wx

NYC Weekend Weather – Jan 4, 2019

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The first weekend of 2019 holds a mixed bag for NYC. Saturday looks to be a rainy day, while Sunday should shape up to be a pleasant, milder day, though not nearly as warm as New Year’s Day. Going into next week, another storm system approaches and may bring precipitation as early as Monday evening. This weekend, I’ll have a follow up post regarding the high likelihood of El Nino developing in the Pacific this winter, and what implications this could have for tangible weather this season in our region.

Rest of today – Increasing clouds. High temperatures in the mid-40s. Overnight, rain starts to move in ahead of an approaching warm front associated with a surface low tracking east and offshore of the Delmarva Peninsula. Overnight lows around 40.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 7AM Saturday. With a warm front positioned to our south, persistent northeasterly onshore winds will present a possible issue for coastal flooding, and keep temperatures suppressed.

Saturday – rain for the bulk of the morning and the afternoon hours. Cooler, with onshore flow north of the warm front mentioned above. Temperatures topping out in the low-40s. Rain tapering off towards the late evening hours, then skies steadily clearing with overnight lows in the mid-30s.

Sunday – bright, sunny day on tap behind the storm system Saturday day. Temperatures a touch warmer in the mid-40s. Overnight lows into Monday dropping into the low-30s as a cold front moves through. No precipitation anticipated with this cold front at this time.

GFS model output for Monday at 5PM. By this time, we’re forecast to be under an area of high pressure, but wedged between the departing weekend storm and the next storm approaching form our west.

Monday – increasing clouds ahead of the next storm system. Temperatures in the mid-30s with colder air in place behind the cold front mentioned above. Overnight lows holding steady, dropping a couple degrees maybe – another warm front will help stabilize temperatures as rain or a rain/snow mix develops. Exact precipitation type is difficult to determine at this time.

NYC Weekend Weather – Sept 21, 2018

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Cooler weather arrives just in time for the astronomical start of autumn. Cloudy conditions have been persistent, and will continue today. A chance for rain and scattered thunderstorms tonight going into Saturday from a passing cold front. These will not be drenching rains like with the remnants of Florence. High pressure returns Saturday, and should give us a dry weekend, though we may continue to see more clouds than sun.

Rest of today – cool, and cloudy, with high temperatures in the low-70s. Chance for showers and thunderstorms overnight with a passing cold front.

Saturday – sunnier with high temperatures in the mid-70s. The autumnal equinox will take place at 9:54PM EDT.

Sunday – partly sunny with high temperatures in the low-70s.

Monday (Mid-Autumn Festival) – partly sunny with high temperatures again in the low-70s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 22, 2018

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We got to enjoy one weekend last week where it didn’t rain at all. Unfortunately that won’t be the case this week with a storm passing through tomorrow. Temperatures will be cool with the influence of an onshore easterly wind before the passage of a warm front that will bring the chance for rain and thunderstorms.

Rest of today – cool, cloudy, with a high in the mid-70s.

Saturday – cloudy, with chances for rain and thunderstorms especially later in the day. The best chances for thunderstorms come with elevated convection late in the day and going into the overnight hours as a warm front approaches from the south. Temperatures will be cool in the mid-70s again.

Sunday – improving conditions with warmer temperatures in the warm sector after the passage of the warm front. Highs should reach into the mid-80s, possibly higher depending how much sun we get.

Monday – Canadian high pressure returns in the wake of this weekend’s storm and gives us sunny weather with mild temperatures in the low-80s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 8, 2018

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We have a weekend of stunning late spring weather on tap, with temperatures above normal to start, then cooling off for the second half of the weekend. Little in the way of rain is possible this weekend, so this is an ideal weekend for all types of outdoor activity, including the upcoming Subway Series and Belmont Stakes!

Rest of today – mostly sunny with high temperatures in the low-80s. Southwesterly flow ahead of a cold front means we will get a milder air mass from the southern US.

Saturday – another nice day with more clouds, but still pleasant warmth in the low-80s. A dry cold frontal passage will signal a shift to cooler conditions for the second half of the weekend.

Sunday – behind this cold front, Canadian high pressure will bring back the influence of a continental polar air mass. This will result in below average cooler temperatures in the low-70s, but with mostly sunny skies. The only blemish on this could be some lingering showers from the overnight passage of a shortwave along the cold front that will settle just south of the area.

Monday – mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the mid-70s as we begin a week with a warming trend.

NYC Weekend Weather – May 4, 2018

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After two days of record-breaking heat in the low-90s, a pattern change is on tap for the NYC metro area going into the weekend. Cooler conditions will prevail in the wake of the passage of a cold front, which could also bring rain and thunderstorms (possibly severe). Saturday should shape up nicely but rain chances return Sunday before a cooler start to the work week.

Rest of today – the Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of the region under a marginal-slight risk of severe thunderstorm activity today. We continue to be an increasingly moist warm sector east of an advancing low pressure center. As the cold front associated with this low pushes east, storms will initiate first along a pre-frontal trough during the day today (late morning-early afternoon), then again along the actual frontal boundary itself later this evening. It is the latter round of these storms that could push severe limits. There are limiting factors to this activity especially near the coast with more stable air present. Cloud cover will limit day time heating, reducing overall instability. And the earlier round of activity should serve to actually mitigate the later round of storms. Aside from the rain, it should be mostly cloudy with some breaks in the sun (that would increase chances for storms), with high temperatures in the mid-80s.


Saturday – cooler air moves in behind the cold front tonight while a weak area of high pressure builds. High temperatures should top out in the mid-70s with partly sunny conditions. Rain chances increase towards the overnight hours.

Sunday – cooler still with mostly cloudy skies and chances for rain. High temperatures only in the mid-60s as a weak disturbance passes to our south.

Monday – skies finally clear up with high temperatures moderating and warming into the upper-60s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Feb 23, 2018

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A wet and unsettled weekend is coming up for NYC after a week that saw record-breaking warmth and large temperature swings. Back-to-back mid-latitude cyclones with their attendant warm and cold fronts will move through the area bringing a cloudy, gloomy feel, and plenty of chances for rain.

Rest of today – multiple rounds of rain showers possible through the morning and afternoon hours ahead of a warm front advancing from the southwest. Rain chances diminishing after around 6PM this evening. Overcast otherwise with a high temperature in the low-40s.

Saturday – overnight temperatures warming due to warm advection ahead of that warm front. We’ll end up in the warm sector of the first of these two mid-latitude cyclones on Saturday with high temperatures rising into the mid-upper 50s under mostly cloudy skies. Some chance for a scattered shower more likely later in the day as some post-frontal rain develops with a cold front exiting to the east.

Sunday – slightly cooler, high temperatures in the upper-40s. Another cloudy day, with rain continuing from overnight Saturday as first a warm front then a cold front moves through with this second storm system.

Monday – finally a dry day with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the mid-50s after this chain of storms!

NYC Weekend Weather – Feb 9, 2017

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Cold start to this weekend gives way to a milder feel but a soaker of a day Sunday. Going into next week, much of the week will see above average temperatures.

Rest of today – increasing low-level clouds associated with warm air advecting from the south ahead of a warm front. Temperatures still on the cool side during the day with high temperatures in the mid-30s.

Saturday – overnight temperatures actually start to rise as warm advection really takes hold. High temperatures will substantially warmer near 50°F. Cloudy with increasing chances for rain as a cold front approaches from the west.

Sunday – the cold front above will stall in our vicinity, with tropical moisture surging along this frontal boundary. This will result in multiple rounds of moderate to heavy rain. Temperatures will be in the low-50s.

Monday – cooler but still decent with decreasing clouds and high temperatures in the mid-40s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Feb 2, 2017

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The groundhogs have spoken. Our own Staten Island Chuck predicts an early spring, while his more famous counterpart Punxsutawney Phil predicts 6 more weeks of winter. Well, it certainly won’t feel like spring this coming weekend as we endure chilly conditions today and tomorrow before a slight warm up with a chance for precipitation Sunday.

Rest of today – clear, but windy with a northwest breeze 20-25 mph range. This will quickly sweep in much colder Arctic air via cold advection, and as a result temperatures will drop through the day from a high around 30°F.

Saturday – with overnight lows dropping into the teens, Saturday will likewise be a cold day with high temperatures only reaching around 30°F. Clouds will increase as the warm front associated with the next area of low pressure to hit the area moves in late in the day.

Sunday – with the warm front passing over us, winds turn to the southwest and warm advection will result in temperatures warming overnight into Sunday when high temperatures are expected to reach the low-40s. Precipitation in association with the cold front attached to the low pressure below will likely begin as all snow in the city before transitioning to a rain/snow mix or all rain with temperatures rising well above freezing. Little to no snow accumulation is expected – but the journey to and back from various Super Bowl related festivities will be messy.

Monday – things dry out and conditions improve as temperatures top out in the upper-30s with partly cloudy skies.

 

Chuck’s Wrong, Phil’s Right

Unfortunately for those of you who like warmer weather, Staten Island Chuck’s prediction of an early spring is likely to be off the mark. A progressive series of storm systems and an oscillating jet stream will bring multiple bouts of cold weather to the area before the winter’s out. Climate Prediction Center has our region in an area of 33% chance for below normal temperatures in their monthly outlook.

NYC Christmas Weekend Weather – Dec 21, 2017

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Those of you hoping for a white Christmas will be disappointed to know that we’ll instead probably be getting a rainy weekend. There is still some small chance for snow mixed with rain Christmas Day, but the white stuff won’t be sticking. While temperatures will warm up this first weekend of the official start of winter, they will plummet considerably after Christmas. Looking into long-range forecast models, there are some indications for what could be winter storms for the first couple weekends of January.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with some thin clouds, but cool with high temperatures in about 40°F.

Saturday – overnight into tomorrow, a warm front will be pushing through associated with the first of two storms affecting the area this holiday weekend. Light rain will precede this frontal passage overnight, then warmer air and steadier precipitation should affect the area during the day Saturday. High temperatures will be much warmer, around 50°F.

Sunday – once the cold front depicted above moves through, we will get a calm day on Sunday with high temperatures dropping back into the mid-40s with mostly sunny skies.

Monday (Christmas Day) – another area of low pressure will develop along the cold front that pushes into the Atlantic. This low will track close enough to the Northeast to bring some chance for a passing snow shower early in the day Monday with much colder air rushing in from the northwest. High temperatures should be in the low-40s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 17, 2017

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A cool Friday and Friday night yields to a rainy, though milder weekend. A return to largely below normal temperatures to start the week. Looking ahead into next week, weather conditions should be fair and without disruptions for the busy travel days around Thanksgiving.

Rest of today – sunny, cool and windy with high temperatures in the upper-40s. Northwest winds 15-20 mph with higher gusts though diminishing as the day progresses.

Saturday – increasing clouds as a warm front attached to a low pressure center over the Great Lakes approaches the area. Increasing clouds as winds shift to a warmer and wetter southerly direction. Chances for rain increasing through the day, with mostly cloudy skies otherwise and high temperatures in the upper-50s.

Sunday – rain chances are highest overnight from Saturday into Sunday. Low temperatures should be on the warm side near 50°F. Rain continues into Sunday morning prior to the passage of the cold front pictured above. Once that cold front pushes through, clouds should gradually break. High temperatures are anticipated to reach in the mid-50s again. However, on the back side of the cold front, we’ll see fairly strong winds returning from the northwest with a large pressure gradient. This will lead to temperatures dropping back into the 40s by the evening.

Monday – sunny skies but much cooler again with high temperatures in the mid-40s.