Tag Archives: nyc wx

NYC Weather Update – Jan 29, 2018

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This week starts and ends with some active weather. Colder temperatures that swept in after the passage of a cold front this weekend will be here to stay for the remainder of the week. We get a couple chances to see some snow, but not anything of considerable quantity.

Rest of today – partly sunny with high temperatures in the low-40s. A coastal storm passes by but far enough offshore that we shouldn’t see serious impacts from it.

Tuesday – chance of rain and snow in the overnight hours with some troughs rotating around the back side of this departing coastal low. Could have enough snow to make for a messy morning commute, but we’re not looking at any significant accumulation. Cloudy otherwise with temperatures topping out in the low-30s.

Wednesday – mostly sunny with high temperatures around freezing.

Thursday – increasing clouds with temperatures warming into the mid-40s in the warm sector before the next storm system hits us.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jan 26, 2018

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We follow the general pattern of last weekend with a warm up occurring, accompanied by some rain on Sunday. Temperatures cool off again to begin next week. Snow is possible late Monday into early Tuesday.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with highs in the mid-30s. A warm front pushes through and winds shift to the southwest, setting the stage for much warmer temperatures over the weekend.

Saturday – a gem of a day with high temperatures in and around 50°F and sunny skies.

Sunday – showers as a cold front pushes through. Temperatures still warm in and around 50°F. Mostly cloudy otherwise. 

Monday – temperatures cool back off into the low-40s after the passage of the cold front bringing rain on Sunday.

NYC Weather Update – Jan 15, 2018

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We have a week of below average cold to contend with before a warm up over the weekend. Two separate chances for snow will take place Tuesday, but neither of these events is expected to drop large snowfall totals.

Rest of today (MLK Jr Day) – cold with high temperatures in the upper-20s and increasing clouds.

Tuesday – temperatures at or just above freezing. Cloudy with a clipper system moving through and bringing chances for light snow accumulation of around an inch.

Wednesday – snow chances continue into the first part of the day as the clipper system transitions into a coastal low. Overall snow accumulation not expected to exceed 2″ at this time.

Thursday – mostly sunny with high temperatures just above freezing.

NYC Weather Update – Jan 8, 2018

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We have a week ahead where we should see temperatures warming into the normal range through mid-week near the 40°F mark. A even more pronounced warm up takes place towards the end of the week with rain expected.

Rest of today – overcast with temperatures at or just above the freezing mark. A frontal boundary passes through later today bringing the chance for snow showers. Some mixing with sleet and freezing rain could occur at the coast with temperatures slightly above freezing. Timing of precipitation will be late afternoon potentially disrupting the evening commute.

Tuesday – a great day with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures at or above 40°F.

Wednesday – partly sunny with high temperatures in the upper-30s.

Thursday – an approaching frontal boundary and high pressure forming over the Atlantic will lead to strong warm advection and warm winds flowing from the southwest. In response, temperatures will surge into the upper-40s and maybe touch 50°F! Quite a difference from last week.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NYC Weather Update – Jan 1, 2018

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First post of 2018! The main weather headlines for this week will be a (slight) break from the bitter cold, a chance for snow, and then a return to even colder temperatures to end the week. There is some potential for a heavier snow storm on Thursday, but forecast models are at odds on some significant details.

Rest of today – sunny, but bitterly cold with high temperatures only in the upper-teens. With a steady northwest wind around 15 mph, wind chills fall between 0 and -5°F.

Tuesday – warmer and sunny with high temperatures in the mid-20s.

Wednesday – mostly sunny with high temperatures nearing 30°F! Downright balmy compared to the beginning of the week.

Thursday – a complex scenario unfolds relating to a coastal storm anticipated to approach the area. Differences exist between major forecast models that would lead to a significant spread in snowfall totals from this event. The first scenario, and the more likely of the two, depicts a storm further offshore, favoring lighter snow. The second scenario shows one much closer to the coast, resulting in much heavier snow and even mixed precipitation. For now, siding with the more likely scenario that favors lighter snow would see only about an inch in the city. Temperatures during the day on Thursday should warm into the upper-20s.

The GFS model depicts a storm that passes farther offshore, which would lead to a light snowfall event for the city. This is the more likely scenario at this time.
Resulting ensemble forecast snowfall totals from the GFS. The mean here is only about .6″, reflecting the forecast scenario above.
The NAM shows a much more substantial snow event, with the storm passing significantly closer to the coast. The mean of this model calls for snowfall totals of nearly 7″, with a secondary cluster of ensemble members between 16-23″!

 

NYC Weather Update – Dec 18, 2017

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A brief warm up takes place to start this week before temperatures cool of back to seasonal norms. No precipitation anticipated at least until the weekend. At this point it does not look like a white Christmas is in the cards as temperature trends are pointing warmer leading into the weekend

Rest of today – partly sunny with high temperatures in the mid-40s.

Tuesday – a dry warm front passes through. Winds shift to the southwest behind this and temperatures should hit the mid-50s with warm air flowing into the area.

Wednesday – a trailing cold front pushes through, again, no precipitation is anticipated. High temperatures cooling back off into the mid-40s with mostly sunny skies.

Thursday – continued cooling trend with high temperatures in the upper-30s and sunny skies.

 

NYC Weather Update – Dec 11, 2017

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We got our first round of snow of the winter season in NYC this past weekend, with snowfall totals generally between 2-4″ from the event. We open this week with another chance for precipitation, but this time more likely in a mixed mode. An arctic blast hits for the mid-week period before yet another storm system brings our next chance of snow and rain Friday.

Rest of today – mostly sunny, cool, with high temperatures slightly below normal around 40°F.

Tuesday – a low pressure system moving east from the Great Lakes will impact the region with a mix of rain and snow. This time around we’ll be on the warm side of the storm, so we’ll likely see mostly rain at the coast. A warm front will pass through overnight. Temperatures will rise into the upper-40s in the warm sector for tomorrow. Precipitation most likely will occur in the morning. Mostly cloudy otherwise.

Wednesday – as this low pressure tracks into the Canadian Maritimes and deepens, a strengthening pressure gradient on its back side will lead to much colder and windier conditions. High temperatures will struggle to reach the freezing mark with partly sunny skies after a very cold night with low temperatures in the low-20s. Stiff west winds 20-25 mph with stronger gusts will make wind chills feel much colder.

Thursday – another cold day with high temperatures only around the freezing mark and partly sunny skies.

NYC Weather Update – Dec 4, 2017

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The biggest weather headline for the beginning to mid-week period will be the passage of a warm front and then a robust cold front. This will bring us a dramatic swing in temperatures along with moderate to heavy rain overnight Tuesday. Late in the week, our eyes turn towards a developing coastal low, with temperatures well within the range to support snow, there’s a chance for us to see our first accumulating snows of the season this weekend.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with high temperatures around 50°F. High pressure remains in control during the day while it moves offshore.

Tuesday – cloudy with much warmer high temperatures nearing 60°F behind the passage of a warm front in the early morning hours. We’ll be in the warm sector of a low that will be centered well north of us in Ontario, and warm air will flow in from the southwest ahead of a cold front. Rain chances increasing during the day, with the best chances for rain starting in the afternoon. Rain continues overnight, moderate to heavy at times.

Wednesday – rain chances continue into the morning. Clearing conditions, with winds turning to the winds once the cold front clears our area. High temperatures peak at around 50°F but fall during the day.

Thursday – noticeably colder, with overnight lows in the low-30s. High temperatures in the mid-40s, a couple degrees cooler than normal for this time of year.

 

Weekend Snow?

Model runs over the past couple days suggest the possibility for multiple storm systems that could bring snow over the weekend. The more significant of these would be a possible coastal storm. However, the latest model runs suggest this storm would take a track too far offshore to affect us with significant precipitation. A second, weaker disturbance could move through Sunday as well. Temperatures will definitely be cold enough to support snow, especially during overnight hours. Later in the week, we should see clearer signals about whether we’ll get our first accumulating snow this season during the weekend.

NYC Weather Update – Nov 27, 2017

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The last week of November will actually see fairly mild weather. Sunny conditions will prevail along with a warming trend as southwesterly winds circulating around an area of high pressure sets up over the Southeast.

Rest of today – high temperatures around 50°F with sunny skies. Northwest winds between 15-20 mph with occasional gusts nearing 30 mph.

Tuesday – cold start to the day with low temperatures overnight in the upper-30s. Despite this, high temperatures should warm into the low-50s with the winds shifting to the south.

Wednesday – warmer still with high temperatures in the mid-upper 50s. We could even hit 60°F in a couple places. Winds will be blowing from the southwest eventually shifting to the northwest.

Thursday – temperatures will cool off significantly overnight, daytime temperatures will be cooler around 50°F. Increasingly cloudy with a cold front advancing and forecast to pass through the city overnight into Friday.

NYC Weather Update, Thanksgiving – Nov 20, 2017

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The weather looks to cooperate most of Thanksgiving week, aside from Tuesday night into Wednesday with a chance of rain as a cold front passes through. Travel impacts should be minimal. Thanksgiving Day itself should be pleasant, though on the cool side with below average temperatures.

Rest of today – earlier this morning, some areas in and around the city got the first few snowflakes of the season. There won’t be any more flurries today, but temperatures will be below normal with a stiff wind blowing from the west at 20 mph and gusts in the 30 mph range. Highs will probably only reach into the upper-40s as a result, even though we do anticipate skies clearing up in the afternoon.

Tuesday – winds turn to the southwest overnight into Tuesday as a high pressure center south of us today moves east, bringing us a shot of warm advection, and much warmer temperatures. Warmer than average highs in the upper-50s to near 60°F are forecast with sunny skies.

Wednesday – overnight Tuesday into Wednesday, rain chances increase as a cold front approaches the region. Rain showers may continue impacting the area into the AM rush. Once the cold front pushes through, winds shift back to the west and northwest, with gradual clearing conditions. High temperatures should be in the low-50s.

Thursday (Thanksgiving Day) – the passage of the cold front on Wednesday sets the stage for much cooler temperatures for the Thanksgiving Day Parade. Cold advection will bring temperatures into the mid-30s overnight, and temperatures at the start of the parade will probably only be in the upper-30s. Fortunately, there should be no other adverse weather impacts on this annual festivity. High temperatures should top out in the low-mid 40s with mostly sunny skies.