Tag Archives: nyc wx

NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 24, 2016

June 24, 2016Climate, Drought, NYC, Weather Update, Weekendcold front, drought, high pressure, new york city weather, new york city weekend weather, nyc weather, nyc weekend wx, nyc wx, weatherLei Zhao

The run of sunny, dry weather that we’ve had (with the exception of Thursday this past week) continues into the weekend. With no significant rain anticipated in the next week, drought conditions continue to worsen over the region. Next week, high pressure to the west will drive cooler than normal temperatures, with high temperatures in the low-80s.

Rest of today – sunny with a high in the low-80s.

Saturday – a copy of today, sunny with a high in the low-80s.

Sunday – slightly warmer, but sunny again with highs in the mid-80s. High pressure will be firmly in control.

Monday – mostly sunny during the day, highs again in the mid-80s, chance for showers and thunderstorms overnight into Tuesday as a cold front passes through.

Cooler than Normal Next Week, Drought Worsens

As the cold front referenced above moves through next Tuesday, it will leave a high pressure center with Canadian origins in control. This setup favors cooler temperatures, and a drier airmass. Hence, the Climate Prediction Center shows that much of the eastern half of the US will should experience below normal temperatures next week.

The continued lack of significant rainfall has led to the expansion of moderate drought which now covers much of northeastern New Jersey, southeastern New York, and all of Long Island.

NYC Weather Update – Jun 20, 2016

June 20, 2016Climate, Drought, NYC, Rain, Storms, Thunderstorms, Weather Updateclimate, drought, full moon, new york city weather, nyc weather, nyc wx, rain, solstice, summer solstice, thunderstorms, tstorms, weatherLei Zhao

We couldn’t have asked for better weather this past weekend, and Sunday in particular was a real gem for all the fathers who had outdoor plans. The run of nice weather gets a couple interruptions this week for some much needed rain, with the first half of the week heating up before a cool down mid-week.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with a high temperature in the low-80s. Today also marks the first official day of summer, which begins at 6:34PM EDT. For the first time in 70 years, the summer solstice will also coincide with a full moon.

Tuesday – a cold front pushes through overnight into Tuesday. There could be some showers/thunderstorms in the early morning hours, but these are unlikely to linger much beyond daybreak. Once the frontal boundary clears, winds pick up inland from the west, ushering in a warmer, though less humid airmass. Temperatures should rise steadily into the upper-80s to near 90ºF in a couple spots under clearing and mostly sunny skies.

Wednesday – pleasant, sunny, with high temperatures in the mid-80s.

Thursday – the next chance at rain comes with a low pressure system moving during the afternoon hours Thursday. Uncertainty remains as to the exact track of this incoming storm system. A southerly track would result in less potential for severe weather/flash flooding, and this is the scenario that forecast models seem to suggest now. Either way, it will be a cooler day with mostly cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper-70s, with a chance for showers and thunderstorms later in the day into the overnight hours.

Friday – much improved conditions with mostly sunny skies and highs in the low-80s.

Drought Worsens, Likely to Persist this Summer

The continued lack of significant rainfall this Spring has led to increasingly dry soil. The US drought monitor now has some regions of the Northeast in an area of moderate drought. The outlook for the summer suggests that the drought will persist, without much improvement.

NYC Weather Update – Jun 14, 2016

June 14, 2016NYC, Rain, Weather Updatenew york city weather, nyc weather, nyc wx, rain, weatherLei Zhao

Last weekend and the start of this week have been pleasant, albeit with a couple days that were quite windy. This week, generally fair weather continues, with a small chance for light rain Thursday into Friday. The Father’s Day weekend ahead looks to be ideal for outdoor activity.

Rest of today – mostly clear, high in the upper-70s.

Wednesday – another sunny day with high temperatures in the low-80s.

Thursday – chance of light rain with a frontal boundary stalling to our southwest. Best chances for rain will be mainly south and west of NYC. High temperature in the upper-70s with mostly cloudy skies.

Friday – lingering chance for showers in the morning, gradually clearing skies later in the day, highs in the mid-70s.

Saturday – sunny, with highs in the upper-70s.

NYC Weather Update – Jun 7, 2016

June 7, 2016NYC, Rain, Severe Weather, Thunderstorms, Weather Updatealberta clipper, cold front, high pressure, new york city weather, nyc weather, nyc wx, rain, thunderstorms, tstormsLei Zhao

After a couple of warm days to start the week, temperatures cool off as a cold front moves through later this evening. A second frontal boundary passes through tomorrow, ushering even cooler, and dry weather for the remainder of the week. Another chance for rain is possible Saturday as a weak Alberta clipper system impacts the area.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with a high in the low-mid 80s. There is a possibility for scattered showers and thunderstorms especially inland later this afternoon between 3-5PM as a cold front approaches from the west. Some of these storms could produce damaging wind gusts and small hail, but these are unlikely to impact the city and coastal areas where the air mass is more stable due to the influence cool ocean waters.

Screen Shot 2016-06-07 at 12.57.05 PM — High Resolution Rapid Refresh model output for today at 3:30PM

Wednesday – with the cold front having passed through, temperatures cool off into the low-70s. The day starts out sunny but clouds will increase ahead of another frontal boundary nears in the afternoon. Ahead of this boundary, a better chance for showers and thunderstorms develops, and once again there could be some widely scattered strong-marginally severe storms.

North American Model High Resolution simulated radar output for Wednesday at 11AM.

Thursday – temperatures will range in the 50s overnight into Thursday, leading to yet another day of below average, but comfortable temperatures in the low-70s with northwest wind driven by high pressure building to the southwest over the Mississippi Valley. This will pull in a drier, fall-like airmass from Canada.

Friday – slightly warmer with highs in the low-mid 70s, mostly sunny.

Saturday – there’s a chance for some scattered showers Saturday afternoon into the overnight hours as an Alberta clipper system approaches, otherwise, partly sunny with high temperatures in the mid-70s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 3, 2016

June 3, 2016NYC, Severe Weather, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, Weekendcold front, low pressure, new york city weather, new york city weekend weather, nyc weekend wx, nyc wx, severe thunderstorms, severe tstorms, severe wx, thunderstorms, warm front, warm sectorLei Zhao

Last weekend featured weather more typical of late-July for the region. This weekend, temperatures will be much cooler, and we may see some heavy rain and possibly even a marginally severe thunderstorm Sunday. Next week, temperatures remain in the below to near-normal range as we feel the impacts of a lingering low pressure over Eastern Canada.

Rest of today – cloudy, with high temperatures in the mid-70s. Areas of rain will continue pushing through the area until around 3PM this afternoon.

Saturday – the nicer of the weekend days, partly sunny with high temperatures in the low-80s. Some chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms especially north and west of the city.

Sunday – a warm front pushes through early, putting us in the warm sector prior to the approach of a cold front associated with a low pressure center over Quebec. This set up could support the development of marginally severe thunderstorms, and the training of multiple storm cells could also lead to some minor flooding. Temperatures will be in the mid-70s. Rain tapers off overnight.

day3otlk_0730 — Storm Prediction Center has put portions of the region under a slight chance for severe weather Sunday.

Monday – weather calms down again and temperatures go back up to around 80ºF as clouds clear up.

Tuesday – mostly sunny with a high again near 80ºF.

NYC Memorial Day Weekend Weather – May 27, 2016

May 27, 2016Climate, Rain, Thunderstorms, Tropical/Hurricanes, Weather Update, Weekend2016 atlantic hurricane season, bermuda high, cold front, new york city memorial day weather, new york city weather, nyc weather, nyc wx, rain, thunderstorms, tropical storm, tropical storm bonnie, weatherLei Zhao

It’s been a week of hot, summer-like temperatures in the city, and this will continue into the Memorial Day weekend as the official kickoff of the summer season gets underway. It’s going to be an excellent weekend for hitting the beach as a pleasant, cooling sea breeze will be present. Memorial Day itself looks increasingly like a rainy day, with precipitation enhanced by an influx of tropical moisture from what could very shortly become the second named tropical storm (Bonnie) of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Rest of today – warm and humid with high temperatures in the upper-80s to near 90ºF. Cloud cover increases this afternoon, and scattered thunderstorms are possible along a sea breeze front, mostly confined to upper elevations in the Lower Hudson Valley.

Saturday – sunny, hot and humid again with high temperatures around 90ºF – a persistent Bermuda High will be the driver of these hot temperatures.

Sunday – another very warm day with high temperatures in the mid-upper 80s. A backdoor cold front is expected to near the area, but not push through and this frontal boundary could serve as a trigger for thunderstorms, but these will be limited to areas north of the city.

Monday (Memorial Day) – significantly cooler, mostly cloudy, with periods of rain likely as a cold front approaches slowly from the west. High temperatures in the mid-70s. Rainfall may be enhanced by tropical moisture associated with what will likely become Tropical Storm Bonnie.

Tropical Storm Bonnie

An area of showers associated with a low pressure center off the coast of Florida has been steadily becoming better organized over the last couple days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this disturbance a 90% chance of becoming Tropical Storm Bonnie. Though there won’t be a direct impact on this region, the moisture from this storm could drive heavy rain on Monday.

GOES15152016148dOO7OX — Satellite imagery of the low pressure area that is likely to become TS Bonnie

A Hot Summer Coming?

The Climate Prediction Center continues to call for a hot summer for almost the entirety of the United States in its latest 3 month temperature outlook.

NYC Weekend Weather – May 20, 2016

May 20, 2016Climate, Rain, Weather Update, Weekendbermuda high, drought, high pressure, low pressure, new york city weather, nyc weather, nyc wx, rain, weather, weekend weatherLei Zhao

If there ever was an ideal day to play hooky from work or school, today would be the day. As it turns out, it’s also National Bike to Work Day, and you couldn’t ask for better weather for this. This weekend will be a mixed bag though, with rain developing later on Saturday and possible Sunday. Looking ahead, a Bermuda High sets up in the next week and will push temperatures above normal.

Rest of today – picture perfect conditions, mostly sunny, high temperatures in the mid-70s.

Saturday – mostly cloudy with rain developing in the afternoon and evening hours. A low pressure system offshore to our south will be the cause of this rain, though the heaviest rain likely won’t make it onshore. High temperatures cool off into the mid-60s with cloud cover and winds moving from southeast to north as the low progresses.

Sunday – a lingering chance for rain in the morning, followed by mostly cloudy conditions, but slightly warmer with high temperatures in the upper-60s.

Monday – small chance for showers in the afternoon, high temperatures again in the upper-60s with mostly cloudy skies.

Finally Warming Up – Drought Development Likely

The development of a Bermuda high in the 6-10 day range will result in above normal temperatures for much of the Northeast, as you see from the following charts from the Climate Prediction Center. While we’re all yearning for warmer temperatures with the cool spring we’ve had, the warmth and lack of rain will be conducive for the development of drought conditions this spring. We had just recovered from a persistent, though only moderate drought this winter, but we’re way behind in terms of precipitation averages for this time of year.

NYC Weather Update – May 16, 2016

May 16, 2016NYC, Rain, Weather Updatenew york city weather, nyc weather, nyc wx, rain, weatherLei Zhao

Temperatures warm up during the course of this week, which is starting off with some fall-like dry, windy, and cool conditions. There’s a chance of rain tomorrow, but aside from this, the rest of the week should be mostly dry.

Rest of today – breezy with west winds around 25mph. Sunny with high temperatures maxing out in the mid-60s.

Tuesday – increasing clouds with a chance for rain during the afternoon and evening hours. High temperature in the mid-60s.

Wednesday – decreasing clouds with high temperatures around the mid-60s again.

Thursday – warmer with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the upper-60s and low-70s as high pressure takes over.

Screen Shot 2016-05-16 at 3.14.09 PM

Friday – best day of the week likely with high temperatures in the low-70s and lots of sun.

NYC Weekend Weather – May 14, 2016

May 14, 2016Rain, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, Weekendcold front, new york city weather, new york city weekend weather, nyc weather, nyc wx, rain, thunderstorms, tstorms, weatherLei Zhao

We have a stretch of decent weather ahead of us going into the early part of next week despite some rain. Rain comes this evening, and is possible Sunday. Windy conditions prevail Monday.

Rest of today – high temperature will be mild in the low-mid 70s with winds from the south. Later this evening, around 6PM, we should see a line of showers with some moderate or strong thunderstorms possible ahead of a cold front passing through. This batch of rain should push through by 9PM.

Sunday – will be about 10ºF cooler with breezy west winds under mostly sunny skies. Clouds build in the afternoon with a slight chance for rain in the evening.

Monday – breezy west winds continue with a pressure gradient between a low pressure center over eastern Canada and high pressure to the south. Sunny, with high temperatures in the low-60s.

Tuesday – a few degrees warmer with highs in the mid-upper 60s, partly-mostly skies, and less wind.

NYC Weather Update – Apr 26, 2016

April 26, 2016Climate, NYC, Severe Weather, Storms, Thunderstorms, Weather Updateclimate, new york city weather, nyc weather, nyc wx, severe thunderstorms, severe weather, severe wx, thunderstorms, tstormsLei Zhao

There is a potential for strong to severe thunderstorms today, especially for areas south and west of the city today. Stormy weather gives way to calmer, cooler conditions Wednesday before another round of rain moves in late Thursday. Cooler temperatures prevail in the short to medium term.

Rest of today – the Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of the region under a marginal to slight risk of severe weather today. These areas are largely confined to those south and west of the city. A frontal boundary is draped from west to east across the area, such that portions to the east will be in colder air north of the frontal boundary, while those areas to the west will be in a warmer area south of it. Any strong to severe thunderstorms will be confined to areas that see the warmest temperatures today, where the spread in high temperatures could be over 25ºF from eastern Long Island to Central New Jersey.

In the city, expect high temperatures in the upper-60s to low-70s with a potential for thunderstorms, some possibly with damaging winds and small hail. These storms will be coming in two rounds, one around 11AM this morning (radar returns are already showing this batch of weaker showers), and the second, stronger batch coming around 3PM.

Wednesday – temperatures cool off considerably in the wake of these storms. High temperatures will be around 60ºF tomorrow with sunny skies.

Thursday – another cool day with high temperatures in the upper-50s and increasing clouds along with an increasing chance of rain during the day into the overnight hours.

Friday – high temperatures in the upper-50s to around 60ºF with partly sunny skies.

Below Normal Temperature Trend to Continue – Rain Needed

An upcoming series of storm systems moving over the region will lead to colder air being pulled in behind them. This will result in below normal temperatures for this time of year throughout much of the next two weeks.

Due to a long stretch of dry weather, many portions of the NYC region have fallen behind normal precipitation levels for this period of the year by considerable margins. Hopefully, the rounds of rain we are forecast to receive coming up will help to prevent drought conditions from redeveloping in the area before this growing season starts in earnest.

LZ | Weather

Weather updates & posts for NYC region