Hurricane Jose will be the primary weather maker for us in the NYC region during the beginning of the week. Tropical storm watches are up for almost the entire the Northeast coast, except for NYC itself. The storm is expected to continue weakening, and while landfall on the US mainland is not expected, there will still be plenty of impacts from the storm.

Monday – isolated chance of showers, primarily this morning. Highs in the mid-70s with cloudy skies.

Tuesday – showers likely from the bands of what will probably a low-end Hurricane Jose or high-end tropical storm. Due to the track of Jose, it will look and feel much like a Nor’easter, with steady winds from the northeast between 15-20 mph. High temperatures in the low-70s. These winds will peak overnight into Wednesday around 25 mph.

Wednesday – rain is still possible from the influence of Tropical Storm Jose. Temperatures in the mid-upper 70s. Winds from the north between 20-25 mph.

Thursday – much more pleasant as Jose moves away from us and continues to weaken. Mostly sunny with high temperatures in the upper-70s.

Hurricane Jose

Hurricane Jose has been exhibiting signs of weakening over the past few days. In this latest satellite image, you can see the center of circulation is exposed and the primary convective areas are well to the north. This is due to strong mid-level wind shear from the south. The storm is also about to leave the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. Both these factors should continue to lead to steady weakening.

As the storm weakens, it has expanded in size, so despite its center not being forecast to make landfall, it is still expected to bring significant coastal impacts (beach erosion, coastal flooding, high surf) along with heavy rain.

As a side note – Hurricane Maria also bears watching with the potential to affect the East Coast next week.