Tag Archives: weather

NYC Weekend Weather – Jul 14, 2016

NYC, Severe Weather, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , ,

It will be a steamy, hot end to the week before the temperatures cool down a little and we get to enjoy a weekend of idyllic summer weather. Some potential for severe thunderstorms exists Thursday. A scattered thunderstorm chance also exists Friday and Saturday night, but the days look dry.

Rest of today – mostly cloudy, hot, humid, with high temperatures in the upper-80s to near 90ºF. A strong to severe thunderstorm is possible this afternoon, particularly in areas north of the city. If we do get clipped by storms in the city, we’ll be on the very southern periphery of the stronger storms, so it doesn’t seem all that likely we’ll see severe weather. Best timing for storms will be in the 3-6PM range.

Screen Shot 2016-07-14 at 10.37.57 AM

Friday – with more sun, Friday is expected to be even hotter than today with highs in the low-mid 90s.

Saturday – even though a cold front will finally pass through Friday, the frontal passage will not bring relief from the heat Friday (the frontal boundary separates two airmasses of disparate dewpoints, and not temperatures). Temperatures will hold in the upper-80s to 90ºF Saturday with mostly sunny skies. It will be an ideal day for heading to the beach as there should be a sea breeze on south-facing shores resulting in 5ºF cooler temperatures.

Sunday – warm, with high temperatures in the mid-upper 80s and partly sunny skies.

NYC Weather Update – Jul 12, 2016

Climate, Drought, NYC, Rain, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, , , , , , , , ,

This week started off with refreshing weather Monday. Temperatures will rise slowly during the course of the week with Friday being the hottest day. The only precipitation chance appears to come on Thursday when a cold front approaches the region.

Rest of today – mostly sunny, seasonably warm, with a high in the low-mid 80s.

Wednesday – temperatures begin slowly warming up as high pressure which has been sitting right over us moves to our east. This will allow a warmer southwesterly flow of air into the region.

asdf

Thursday –  warmer still, possibly with high temperatures hitting 90ºF in some spots. In general, high temperatures will reach into the upper-80s. A chance for showers and thunderstorms will build in the afternoon along with the heat and the approach of a cold front.

Friday – partly cloudy, hot with a high near 90ºF.

Drought Expands Despite Rain

With a dearth of rain continuing, some areas of the northeast (much of Eastern Massachusetts) have been placed under an area of severe drought. For us, a moderate drought persists, despite the fact that we’ve had several rounds of drenching rain over the last couple weeks.

20160705_northeast_trd

NYC Weekend Weather – Jul 7, 2016

Flooding, NYC, Rain, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , , , ,

The end of this week will likely see the first official heat wave of the year, typically defined as 3 or more days with 90ºF+ temperatures. The hot and humid weather comes to a close this weekend as a backdoor cold front brings relief by Sunday. A couple rounds of active weather could crop up this afternoon and again Friday night.

Rest of today – hot, humid, with a high in the low-90s. Periods of clouds and sun with increasing clouds this afternoon. The area is under a flash flood watch due to the impending onset of showers and thunderstorms capable of generating heavy downpours of 1-2″/hour. You can see from the satellite image below that discrete, pulse type storms are already building. Coverage of these storms will increase and they will encounter conditions conducive for strengthening, with plenty of moisture in the atmosphere, no capping to speak of, and lots of sunshine leading to MLCAPE values between 1000-1500 J/Kg. Storms should die down by later this evening. If you’re out and about, carry an umbrella because you may get dumped on.

GOES16252016189O6RcVE

Friday – any relief from the heat from the storms today will unfortunately be short-lived. Temperatures Friday are expected to rise into the low-90s once again under mostly sunny skies. Friday night, as a backdoor cold front the northeast (so-called because it moves from northeast to southwest, the opposite of most cold fronts in the mid-latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere), we could see another round of showers and thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rain across the area.

98fndfd

Saturday – with the backdoor cold front slowly progressing through the area during the day, some potential exists for scattered thunderstorms. Temperatures will be more comfortable in the mid-80s with mostly sunny skies otherwise.

Sunday – mostly sunny with a high in the mid-80s. Best day of the weekend!

NYC Weather Update – Jul 4, 2016

NYC, Rain, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, , , , , , , , , ,

Rain moves through tonight, and then temperatures warm through the course of the week as a Bermuda high takes control. There’s a chance for showers and thunderstorms Thursday – otherwise this week will certainly feel like summer.

Rest of today (Independence Day) – increasingly cloudy, with a high near 85ºF. Forecasts last week seemed to indicate a rain-free weekend outside of Friday night when we experienced some severe thunderstorms. It now appears that an area of low pressure tracking to our south will bring rain to the area tonight. Currently, the timing of the rain appears to bring it in the city right around the time that the fireworks display is scheduled to kick off. The heaviest rain won’t begin falling until later tonight, so I don’t think this will wash the fireworks out, but it will result in less than ideal viewing conditions if you plan on being outside at the display.

Screen Shot 2016-07-04 at 1.56.57 PM

Tuesday – steady rains should end by the morning rush tomorrow, though a lingering shower could pop up till around noon. Decreasing clouds with high temperatures in the mid-80s.

Wednesday – temperatures heat up into the low-90s, with dewpoints holding steady in the mid-upper 60s, it will feel like August. A Bermuda high will take hold through the end of the week, which could bring our first heat wave of the season.

Screen Shot 2016-07-04 at 1.50.08 PM

Thursday – mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms developing late in the day. High temperatures around 90ºF. 

NYC Independence Day Weekend Weather – Jun 30, 2016

NYC, Storms, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , , , , , ,

The holiday weekend ahead will be picture perfect for nearly any type of outdoor activity, with the caveat that it will start off with some stormy weather on Friday evening/night. This batch of storms may impact travelers as they make their getaway from the city, but once they pass, the rest of the weekend will be a real gem. Any fireworks displays not scheduled for Friday night should go off without a hitch.

Rest of today – warm with a light breeze from the northwest, less humid, high in the mid-80s with sunny conditions.

Friday – mostly cloudy, high around 80ºF, increasing chance for showers and thunderstorms especially toward the afternoon and evening hours. Some of these storms could produce gusty winds. Storms continue into early overnight hours.

Screen Shot 2016-06-30 at 9.40.01 AM

Saturday – sunny, high in the low-80s.

Sunday – clone of Saturday, high in the low-80s. High pressure begins to dominate the weather over the region.

9jhwbg_conus

Monday (Independence Day) – another sunny, spotless day, with highs in the low-80s.

NYC Weather Update – Jun 27, 2016

NYC, Rain, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, , , , , , ,

Weather this week and going into the July 4th weekend will be pleasant and dry, with the only real chance for rain during the next several days occurring overnight Tuesday as a cold front pushes through.

Rest of today – temperatures dropping through the day to the mid-70s by the PM rush, humid, with highs already topping out in the low-80s under partly sunny skies. A small chance for widely scattered showers exists later this evening.

Tuesday – mostly cloudy with high temperatures in the lower-80s. Chance of rain and thunderstorms throughout the day, though most likely in the afternoon. Overnight, the cold front associated with this round of precipitation pushes through, and this will serve as better trigger for showers and thunderstorms overnight.

Screen Shot 2016-06-27 at 12.15.26 PM

Wednesday – a small lingering chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms remains during the first half of the day. Otherwise, partly sunny with highs in the low-80s.

Thursday – dry, sunny, high temperatures in the low-80s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 24, 2016

Climate, Drought, NYC, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , , , ,

The run of sunny, dry weather that we’ve had (with the exception of Thursday this past week) continues into the weekend. With no significant rain anticipated in the next week, drought conditions continue to worsen over the region. Next week, high pressure to the west will drive cooler than normal temperatures, with high temperatures in the low-80s.

Rest of today – sunny with a high in the low-80s.

Saturday – a copy of today, sunny with a high in the low-80s.

Sunday – slightly warmer, but sunny again with highs in the mid-80s. High pressure will be firmly in control.

Screen Shot 2016-06-24 at 11.44.29 AM

Monday – mostly sunny during the day, highs again in the mid-80s, chance for showers and thunderstorms overnight into Tuesday as a cold front passes through.

Cooler than Normal Next Week, Drought Worsens

As the cold front referenced above moves through next Tuesday, it will leave a high pressure center with Canadian origins in control. This setup favors cooler temperatures, and a drier airmass. Hence, the Climate Prediction Center shows that much of the eastern half of the US will should experience below normal temperatures next week.

610temp.new

The continued lack of significant rainfall has led to the expansion of moderate drought which now covers much of northeastern New Jersey, southeastern New York, and all of Long Island.

20160621_NY_trd

NYC Weather Update – Jun 20, 2016

Climate, Drought, NYC, Rain, Storms, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, , , , , , , , , , ,

We couldn’t have asked for better weather this past weekend, and Sunday in particular was a real gem for all the fathers who had outdoor plans. The run of nice weather gets a couple interruptions this week for some much needed rain, with the first half of the week heating up before a cool down mid-week.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with a high temperature in the low-80s. Today also marks the first official day of summer, which begins at 6:34PM EDT. For the first time in 70 years, the summer solstice will also coincide with a full moon.

Tuesday – a cold front pushes through overnight into Tuesday. There could be some showers/thunderstorms in the early morning hours, but these are unlikely to linger much beyond daybreak. Once the frontal boundary clears, winds pick up inland from the west, ushering in a warmer, though less humid airmass. Temperatures should rise steadily into the upper-80s to near 90ºF in a couple spots under clearing and mostly sunny skies.

Wednesday – pleasant, sunny, with high temperatures in the mid-80s.

Thursday – the next chance at rain comes with a low pressure system moving during the afternoon hours Thursday. Uncertainty remains as to the exact track of this incoming storm system. A southerly track would result in less potential for severe weather/flash flooding, and this is the scenario that forecast models seem to suggest now. Either way, it will be a cooler day with mostly cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper-70s, with a chance for showers and thunderstorms later in the day into the overnight hours.

Screen Shot 2016-06-20 at 12.34.17 PM

Friday – much improved conditions with mostly sunny skies and highs in the low-80s.

Drought Worsens, Likely to Persist this Summer

The continued lack of significant rainfall this Spring has led to increasingly dry soil. The US drought monitor now has some regions of the Northeast in an area of moderate drought. The outlook for the summer suggests that the drought will persist, without much improvement.

20160614_northeast_trd

NYC Weather Update – Jun 14, 2016

NYC, Rain, Weather Update, , , ,

Last weekend and the start of this week have been pleasant, albeit with a couple days that were quite windy. This week, generally fair weather continues, with a small chance for light rain Thursday into Friday. The Father’s Day weekend ahead looks to be ideal for outdoor activity.

Rest of today – mostly clear, high in the upper-70s.

Wednesday – another sunny day with high temperatures in the low-80s.

Thursday – chance of light rain with a frontal boundary stalling to our southwest. Best chances for rain will be mainly south and west of NYC. High temperature in the upper-70s with mostly cloudy skies.

Screen Shot 2016-06-14 at 12.40.16 PM

Friday – lingering chance for showers in the morning, gradually clearing skies later in the day, highs in the mid-70s.

Saturday – sunny, with highs in the upper-70s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 10, 2016

NYC, Rain, Thunderstorms, Weather Update, Weekend, , , , , , , , ,

We’ve had a week of fairly mixed weather, with some days that saw thunderstorms, but a fair mix of sunny and dry conditions also. This weekend, we get another mixed bag, with a possibility of thunderstorms approaching severe limits Saturday, and a great day on Sunday. Looking ahead, high pressure begins to dominate and will ensure dry weather for the coming week.

Rest of today – we’ve hit our high in the mid-upper 70s, and we’ll continue to have sunny weather, and it’ll be a pleasant night with lows in the upper-50s to around 60ºF.

Saturday – the Storm Prediction Center has placed our area under a slight risk of severe weather for Saturday. We could see some thunderstorms rumble through in the afternoon hours as a warm front pushes in from the west, however, they will be weakening as they approach more stable air near the coast, so it’s possible these storms fizzle out before they reach the city. These storms will be moving from northeast to southeast from the interior of Upstate New York. Otherwise, expect partly sunny skies with highs in the upper-70s.

day2otlk_1730 Screen Shot 2016-06-10 at 4.50.27 PM

Sunday – winds pick up behind the passage of the warm front mentioned above. Temperatures also warm up into the low-80s with sunny skies.

Monday – mostly sunny with high temperatures in the upper-70s. High pressure begins to take control over our weather.

9jhwbg_conus

Tuesday – much the same as Monday, pleasant, mostly sunny, with high temperatures in the upper-70s.