Tag Archives: continental polar

NYC (KLGA) Climatology for March

During my time taking classes as part of Penn State University’s Undergraduate Certificate in Weather Forecasting, we were taught that understanding the climatology of the location you are interested in is an important prerequisite for making accurate forecasts. As such, I’ve decided to post some critical components of climatology for the closest station to me, LaGuardia Airport (KLGA). Below, I’ve posted some general climate data, and also specific data for the month of March.

Other Month’s Climatologies

January
February
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

Station Basic Information

City Name / Station ID: New York, NY (LaGuardia Airport – KLGA)

Local Geography and Topography

Station Elevation: 10 feet above sea level.

Station Location: LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) is situated on the north shore of Queens along the East River, approximately 6 miles east-northeast of Midtown Manhattan.

KLGA’s location within the broader NYC area, as seen in a Google Maps terrain view

Important Topographical Features: New York City is located in the extreme southeastern corner of New York State, bordering suburban New Jersey and Connecticut. These suburban regions combined with those in Long Island comprise the Greater New York City Metropolitan Area, which is the most populous urban agglomeration in the United States and one of the populous urbanized areas in the world with an estimated population of 18 million. New York City itself sprawls across the coastal plain around the Hudson River estuary. The terminal moraine formed by glaciers of the last Ice Age result in a ridge of higher terrain that cuts a swath from southwest to northeast across the boroughs from northern Staten Island, northern Brooklyn, southwestern through central and northeastern Queens. Otherwise, the city itself is low lying. This ridge varies in height between 200-400 feet, rising sharply from south to north, but tapering more gently north. North and west of the city (about 30-50 miles away), lie significant elevations of the Catskills (north), Poconos (west), Taconics that are part of the broader Appalachian Mountain Range. The elevations of the lower foothills can range from 1000-1500 feet. Some of the elevations in the Poconos and Catskills, west and north of KLGA respectively, peak between 2000-3000 feet. The open expanse of the Atlantic Ocean lies south of KLGA and New York City. Long Island Sound also lies east-northeast. The vast urbanized area of the NYC metropolitan region has significant effects on local microclimates via differential heating (urban heat island effect). KLGA is in a low-lying area sensitive to UHI effects and marine influences.

Topographical map of New York State

Per the Local Climatological Data report from the National Weather Service:

On winter mornings, ocean temperatures which are warm relative to the land reinforce the effect of the city heat island and low temperatures are often 10-20 degrees lower in the inland suburbs than in the central city. The relatively warm water temperatures also delay the advent of winter snows. Conversely, the lag in warming of water temperatures keeps spring temperatures relatively cool. One year-round measure of the ocean influence is the small average daily variation in temperature.

National Weather Service – NYC Office

Wind Patterns

Below is a wind rose – you can read more about how to interpret this chart here.

March wind rose for KLGA, source: National Resource Conservation Service

Frequency (percentage) of the single most common wind direction: Due northwest occuring about 14% of the time.

Directions that are most and least common: Most common wind directions following due northwest are due northeast (11.75%), west-northwest (10.25%), north-northwest (8.5%). Least common wind directions are east-southeast (1%), due southeast (2%), and due east (2.25%).

Direction(s) most likely to produce the fastest winds: The most common wind directions are also the ones most likely to produce the fastest winds.

Direction(s) least likely to produce the fastest winds: Again, the least common wind directions are also least likely to produce the fastest winds.

Impacts of wind direction on local weather: Prevalent northwesterly winds during this month generally follow in the wake of cold fronts and coastal storms. These winds can lead to substantial cold air advection (transport of cold, dry continental polar air mass from interior Canada), often because of subsidence in the wake cold fronts mixing down very fast winds to the surface. These winds will downslope and warm slightly as they approach the coast though. A secondary maximum of winds from the northeast can be attributed to backdoor cold fronts arriving from the Canadian Maritimes, bringing a moist, cool maritime polar air mass, or in conjunction with the advance of coastal Nor’easter type storms. During March, sea surface temperatures in the vicinity of NYC are above freezing, but by no means warm. If a warmer air mass is in place prior to winds shifting to the northeast, cooler, more moist conditions will result. If a colder, below freezing air mass is present, northeasterly winds can exert moderating influence on temperatures. Persistent northeasterly winds can also lead to the potential for coastal flooding given the shape of local coastline.

Maximum observed two-minute wind speed for the month in knots: 40 knots (46 mph).

Temperature and Precipitation Averages/Records

Temperature units are in Fahrenheit and precipitation is in inches.

Worth Noting: Average temperatures in March rise above 50°F for the first month since November. However, March can certainly still produce cold days – many of the record lowest max temperatures are below freezing, with record lows still in the teens and single digits. It is a month indicative of spring when large temperature swings are possible.

DateNormal HighNormal LowRecord HighRecord LowRecord Lowest MaxRecord Highest MinNormal PrecipRecord Precip
1453171825530.122.23
24631671325500.112.44
34631651025490.122.26
4463169725460.111.53
5463272925480.120.72
64732641424480.122.47
74732691425490.131.90
84732741428540.121.20
94733751426490.122.18
104833781227620.121.52
114833701530490.121.40
124833691528490.121.83
134934831933530.123.15
144934751834500.121.41
154934741429480.131.61
165034771932510.131.12
175035741526540.131.39
185035751319510.142.05
195135721026530.131.38
205136821931530.141.18
215136701834530.142.00
225236761933540.133.15
235237741926560.141.44
245237741730500.141.63
255337771832500.131.55
265338722034510.141.26
275438832336540.141.20
285438832336580.132.83
295439862534590.141.90
305539792334590.132.65
315539822436590.142.10
Range45-5531-3964-867-2519-3645-620.11-0.140.72-3.15





NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 8, 2018

We have a weekend of stunning late spring weather on tap, with temperatures above normal to start, then cooling off for the second half of the weekend. Little in the way of rain is possible this weekend, so this is an ideal weekend for all types of outdoor activity, including the upcoming Subway Series and Belmont Stakes!

Rest of today – mostly sunny with high temperatures in the low-80s. Southwesterly flow ahead of a cold front means we will get a milder air mass from the southern US.

Saturday – another nice day with more clouds, but still pleasant warmth in the low-80s. A dry cold frontal passage will signal a shift to cooler conditions for the second half of the weekend.

Sunday – behind this cold front, Canadian high pressure will bring back the influence of a continental polar air mass. This will result in below average cooler temperatures in the low-70s, but with mostly sunny skies. The only blemish on this could be some lingering showers from the overnight passage of a shortwave along the cold front that will settle just south of the area.

Monday – mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the mid-70s as we begin a week with a warming trend.

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 10, 2017

Get ready for record-breaking cold and a blast of deep winter tonight. The cold spell slowly abates over the course of the weekend, but even by Monday, high temperatures are still anticipated to be below normal for this time of year. There is a chance for precipitation on Sunday night with the passage of a weak disturbance.

Rest of today – we’ve already reached today’s daytime high of about 40°F and temperatures will be falling throughout the rest of the day. An arctic front is passing over us now, in its wake, strong cold advection (transport) is ongoing as a continental polar airmass from northern Canada dives down into the area. A high pressure center over Minnesota is also creating a fairly strong pressure gradient with a low pressure system in central Quebec. This will result in breezy conditions with winds from the northwest at around 25 mph and gusts over 40 mph. Wind chill values will fall from the 30s into the 20s.

Strong cold advection is ongoing behind the arctic front. Temperatures are dropping by as much as 2.5-3°F per hour in the Northeast.

Saturday (Veterans Day) – overnight lows going into Saturday are forecast to plummet to record-breaking levels in the low-20s. The high pressure pictured above will be moving closer to us, decreasing the pressure gradient and reducing the winds here. Temperatures should top out around 40°F with lots of sun. It will be a chilly, but sunny day for the Veterans Day Parade.

Sunday – temperatures continue to warm into the upper-40 with increasing clouds.

Monday – some uncertainty exists about the possibility of precipitation overnight into Monday. High temperatures will finally be approaching normal for this time of year with highs in the low-50s and mostly cloudy skies.

NYC Weather Update – May 11, 2015

This week will be a tale of two airmasses, starting with a warm, moist, maritime tropical one, and transitioning to a more seasonable, cool, dry, continental polar airmass (don’t be alarmed, polar refers to the origin of this airmass, not necessarily the temperatures, although some light frost might occur later this week far inland). In terms of sensible weather, you will notice a marked change between warm, humid, summer-like weather Monday and Tuesday, and cool, windy, and crisp spring-like conditions to end the week.

Rest of today – basically a repeat of Sunday, high temperatures topping out in the low-80s. There is a very slight chance of showers and thunderstorms over the inland areas west of NYC where some instability might develop from daytime heating. South-facing shores will be noticeably cooler and cloudier due to an onshore wind from the south off the ocean.

Tuesday – some fog and clouds early, then mostly cloudy with a chance for rain and thunderstorms in the afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front. High temperatures remain much above normal in the low-mid 80s.

Wednesday – the aforementioned cold front makes its passage, and brings in its wake a return to more seasonable weather. Average temperatures for this time of year are only around 65ºF, and that’s just about where we will end up on Wednesday under mostly sunny skies. There will be a noticeable wind from the northwest as well, making it feel extra crisp.noaad3

Thursday – sunny and dry, with a slight rebound in temperatures into the upper-60s.