Tag Archives: new york city weekend weather

NYC Weekend Weather – Aug 16, 2019

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A stationary front stalled out southeast of the city over the Mid-Atlantic will be the primary agent responsible for an extended period of humid, cloudy, and unstable weather over the weekend. As was the case last weekend, temperatures will be on an upward trend from the low-80s into the low-90s by the start of next week.

Rest of today – mostly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms particularly closer to higher terrain north and west of the city. High temperatures in the low-80s. Overnight lows in the low-70s.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8AM Saturday

Saturday – more clouds than sun with the stationary front just south of the area. Continued onshore easterly flow behind north of this stationary front will keep things cooler and humid. High temperatures in the low-80s. Chance for showers and thunderstorms to develop again in the afternoon hours with an unstable airmass (due to the high moisture content caused by the onshore flow) as heating increases. Overnight lows in the low-70s.

Sunday – temperatures begin to warm up into the upper-80s as winds shift towards the south. The stationary front attempts to move north as a warm front but high pressure is forecast to develop west of us and block this northwards advance. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are again possible in the afternoon hours. Overnight lows in the mid-70s.

GFS model 2 meter above ground level temperature, 10 meter above ground level wind forecast for 2PM Monday

Monday – with winds shifting to towards the southwest, much warmer air will advect into the region. High temperatures expected to top out in the low-90s with overnight lows in the upper-70s. Mostly sunny skies forecast with the high pressure building.

NYC Weekend Weather – Aug 9, 2019

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A couple stormy nights in the city the last couple days will give way to a superb weekend of mostly sunny skies and warm, but comfortable temperatures. High pressure will remain in control over the region’s weather going into next week. The next chance for significant precipitation won’t enter the picture until mid-week next week.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with high temperatures ranging 84-87°F. There is a slight chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm later this afternoon with a weak disturbance pivoting through at the upper-levels. Forecasters cite the lack of any significant convective inhibition so storms could pretty easily get going, however, moisture content isn’t all that great. Overnight lows should be mild in upper-60s.

HRRR model simulated radar for 4:45PM today

Saturday – with a cold front passing today, we’ll have cooler temperatures tomorrow, high temperatures reaching only into the low-80s under mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows cooling into the mid-60s.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8PM Saturday

Sunday – just another beautiful day with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the low-80s. Overnight lows starting to warm back up into the upper-60s.

Monday – temperatures will warm back up as the high pressure center shifts east, and we get the warmer southerly, and westerly return flow. We should see high temperatures in upper-80s and overnight lows in the low-70s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jul 12, 2019

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After last night’s rains, we’ll see high pressure builds over there weekend. This will lead to mostly sunny and warm weather for the forecast period. A dry cool front passing Sunday won’t do much to cool things off. Instead, temperatures will continue an upwards trend into next week. It remains to be seen what sensible impacts the remnants of Tropical Storm Barry could have for us late next week.

Rest of today – warm, with mostly sunny skies. High temperatures in the upper-80s despite the cold front passing due to warning influence of downsloping westerly winds. Overnight lows in the low-70s.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8AM Sunday

Saturday – could see some high temperatures and sunny skies in the low-90s in denser urban areas away from the coast. Otherwise most areas in the upper-80s except at the immediate coast where a sea breeze should develop. Overnight lows in the mid-70s.

Sunday – mostly sunny with highs similar to Saturday in the upper-80s. Overnight lows in the mid-70s.

Looking ahead into the medium range, 6-10 day Climate Prediction Center temperature outlook for 7/17-7/27. Much of the country including our area looks set to see above average warmth.

Monday – yet another day of mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the mid-upoer 80s. Overnight lows in the mid-70s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jul 5, 2019

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This weekend starts off with warm temperatures, and then will get punctuated by the passage of a cold front bringing showers and thunderstorms later tomorrow afternoon into the evening hours. Behind this front, a cooler, drier Canadian air mass moves in with high pressure building to start next week.

Rest of today – warm, with mostly cloudy skies and high temperatures in the upper-80s. Overnight lows in the mid-70s. Slight chance for showers and thunderstorms going into Saturday.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8PM Saturday

Saturday – mostly cloudy with chances for showers and thunderstorms peaking in the late afternoon and early evening hours. High temperatures in the upper-80s. Shower and thunderstorm chances will peak late with instability and lift maximized from daytime heating and an approaching. Some of these storms could be strong in nature and with plenty of moisture available, these could bring heavy downpours. Overnight lows in the mid-70s.

Sunday – generally improving conditions with decreasing clouds and high temperatures in the mid-80s. Some showers still possible early. Overnight lows into Monday in the low-70s.

GFS Model for 1000-500 mb thickness, surface pressure, and precipitation at 2AM Monday

Monday – a nice day with high temperatures in the low-mid 80s and sunny skies as high pressure takes control. Overnight lows in the upper-60s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 28, 2019

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We start the weekend with hot temperatures but some showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday should cool things off back to near-normal warmth. In general, there’s going to be enough sun this weekend to enjoy some outdoor activities. Just be prepared for a quick moving afternoon thunderstorm. Saturday’s storms could edge into the severe range.

Rest of today – hot, sunny, with high temperatures ranging in the upper-80s to low-90s. Overnight lows in the low-70s.

  • Storm Prediction Center convective outlook for Saturday, showing slight risk for severe thunderstorms in NYC
  • Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8PM Saturday

Saturday – partly sunny with increasing clouds later in the day. Showers and thunderstorms possible especially in the afternoon and early evening hours when solar heating is maximized and a cold front/shortwave trough moves through the area. There is some potential for the storms to reach severe limits, with the primary threat being damaging winds. High temperatures near 90°F, with overnight lows in the low-70s.

Sunday – cooler, with high temperatures in the mid-80s but mostly sunny skies. There’s also a chance for showers and thunderstorms with a second cold front pushing through during the day, but coverage will be more scattered and storms are expected to be weaker if they form due to lack of upper-air support and less favorable conditions for instability. Overnight lows noticeably cooler, in the mid-60s.

GFS model output for 1000-500 mb thickness, surface pressure, precipitation for 8AM Monday

Monday – a gem of a day with mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the low-80s. Overnight lows back into the upper-60s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 21, 2019

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Lingering showers and cloudiness should clear the area later today. Summer officially starts today and a welcome pattern change will coincide with this, giving us excellent weather this weekend. A break from the rain with lots of sunshine is in store. Upper level ridging should block any inclement weather from hitting until a weak storm system passing late Monday into Tuesday.

Rest of today – skies gradually clearing by late afternoon. High temperatures moderated by cloud cover, rising to the upper-70s. Overnight lows in the low-60s. Air mass will be drying out behind a cold front passing today.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8AM Saturday

Saturday – sunny with highs in the low-80s. High pressure building over Ontario and Canada should keep things nice and calm. Overnight lows in the mid-60s.

Sunday – another sunny day with highs in the low-80s. Overnight lows in the mid-60s.

GFS model output of 500 mb heights and vertical vorticity valid for 8PM Monday

Monday – mostly sunny with increasing clouds late and high temperatures in the low-80s. Overnight lows in the upper-60s with chances for rain.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 13, 2019

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A cold front that pushed through overnight leaves us with some cool, crisp air to start the weekend. The first half of the weekend will be characterized by plenty of sun before a slow moving frontal system approaches later in the weekend. This will bring back chances for showers and thunderstorms going into next week when it appears an active weather pattern could take root.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with high temperatures in the mid-70s. A post-frontal trough may touch off a few isolated storms later in the afternoon. Overnight lows in the low-60s.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8AM Saturday, showing high pressure off the coast of NC

Saturday – mostly sunny with highs in the low-80s. High pressure takes hold off the Southeast US coast, with clockwise return flow bringing some warmer air this way. Overnight lows in the low-60s.

Sunday – with a frontal boundary approaching from the northwest, clouds increase and chances for showers and thunderstorms do also. High temperatures should still be mild in the low-80s. As the Overnight lows in the mid-60s with rain chances continuing.

NAM output of 1000-500 mb thickness, surface pressure and precipitation for 8PM Sunday.

Monday – the frontal boundary that approaches from the northwest weakens and stalls out. This is partly due to flow at the upper levels flattening out/becoming somewhat parallel to the front’s orientation, and partly due to the high pressure that by this time will become anchored over Bermuda. Multiple waves of low pressure are forecast to move along this stalled front bringing another day that holds chances for showers and thunderstorms. Prolonged southwest/westerly flow ahead of the cold front which really slows down should allow temperatures to reach the mid-80s despite more cloud cover and precipitation. Overnight lows in the upper-60s with yet more rain possible.

NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 7, 2019

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High pressure will build over southwestern Quebec this weekend, and this will be the predominant influence on sensible weather in the area. This should result in the first rain-free weekend in quite a while, so get out and enjoy it if you can. By the beginning of next week, rain comes back into the picture. Temperatures through the period will be at or slightly above average in the upper-70s.

Rest of today – filtered sun through a deck of higher clouds appears to be on the order of the day with a cold front stalling out and becoming stationary to our south. No rain though! High temperatures around 80°F. Overnight lows in the mid-60s.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8AM Saturday. That big area of high pressure over Quebec will be bringing us some sunny skies for a change.

Saturday – this will be the best day of the weekend with sunny skies as high be pressure builds north and high temperatures staying in the low-80s. Overnight lows again in the mid-60s.

Sunday – still a good day for being outside with more clouds expected and becoming mostly cloudy late. High temperatures in the upper-70s with overnight lows in the low-60s.

NAM output for 2PM Monday, by this time, it appears that a cold front bringing showers along with it will be nearing the area.

Monday – the next storm system comes through with a cold front forecast to pass Monday into Tuesday. Rain chances look to be sometime in the afternoon at this point. High temperature in the mid-70s with mostly cloudy skies and overnight lows in the low-60s.

NYC Weekend Weather – May 31, 2019

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We’ll get a much needed respite from deluging rains at least for part of the weekend as high pressure initially takes hold of the weather. This should give us two days to start with slightly above average warmth and mostly sunny skies. By Sunday, the next storm system to affect the region will be closing in and we can expect more rain and thunderstorm chances. Timing of this system now appears to clear the area by Monday and result in cooler but sunny conditions starting next week.

Rest of today – early fog has burned off and we’re in line to have a nice day with sunny skies and high temperatures topping out in the low-80s except at the immediate coast where a sea breeze is expected to develop with onshore flow forecast later in the day. Overnight lows in the low-60s.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8AM Saturday

Saturday – another great day with temperatures in the low-80s (except again at the coasts with sea breezes) and mostly sunny skies. Clouds on the increase late and overnight with lows again in the low-60s.

NAM (North American Model) output for 500 mb vorticity and heights on Sunday 8PM showing a pronounced upper low over James Bay in Canada with a trough extending into the Ohio Valley. This will provide upper level divergence and instability to spur storms on Sunday.

Sunday – a warm front is forecast to push through overnight into Sunday and set the stage for rain and thunderstorms later in the day as a cold front approaches from the west. Temps probably topping out a touch cooler in the upper-70s with more clouds hanging around. Overnight lows around 60°F.

Monday – at this time, expecting the aforementioned cold front to sweep through the region before the day Monday. That should result in cooler highs in the low-70s with mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows in the upper-50s.

NYC Memorial Day Weekend Weather – May 24, 2019

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The long holiday weekend appears to be mainly dry, and even features a day that could make for a good beach getaway. We do have a chance for rain overnight Saturday into Sunday but this shouldn’t be a damper on anyone’s plans. Sunday’s shaping up to be the warmest day of the weekend although Memorial Day itself may end up being the nicest all around day.

Rest of today – breezy and sunny with high temperatures in the mid-70s. The strong pressure gradient between a departing surface low and a high pressure center moving east from the Great Lakes is what’s causing these breezy conditions. Winds should die down overnight as the high moves overhead and the pressure gradient relaxes. Overnight lows in the upper-50s.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8PM Friday

Saturday – as the high pressure continues moving east, clouds will increase due to the influence of an advancing warm front. This frontal boundary may serve as the focus for some showers and thunderstorms overnight Saturday into Sunday. High temperatures Saturday expected to be in the low-70s due to increasing cloud cover. Overnight lows in low-60s.

GFS model output for surface pressure, precipitation, 500 mb thickness valid 4PM Sunday

Sunday – we’ll be in the warm sector this day. Clouds and rain are expected to subside early and allow for temperatures to warm into the mid-80s and possibly higher. This will be the best day of the weekend to hit the beach though it’s not a lock for sunny weather all day. Overnight lows in the mid-60s.

Monday (Memorial Day) – anticipating this will be the best day of the weekend with sunny skies and mild temperatures in the upper-70s. Overnight lows in the low-60s.