Partly sunny start to the week, highs around 60ºF. Cold front coming tomorrow bringing showers with highs in the mid-60s. Behind this front, cooler temps in the mid-50s through mid-week as Canadian high pressure builds in. Cooler than normal trend set to continue into the weekend and early next week.
Rest of today – partly sunny with high temperatures around 60ºF. Mostly cloudy overnight with lows around 50ºF.
Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for Tuesday at 8 AM. An approaching cold front will bring a chance for showers. Behind this front, cooler temperatures will prevail.
Tuesday – mostly cloudy, chance of showers, with high temperatures in the mid-60s ahead of an approaching cold front. Following the cold front, lows will drop back to the upper-40s.
Wednesday – mostly sunny with high pressure building behind the aforementioned cold front. Cooler, with high temperatures in mid-50s. Overnight lows in the upper-30s!
Climate Prediction Center’s 6-10 temperature outlook valid for early next week. The cooler than normal trend looks somewhat likely to continue into this time frame.
Thursday– another mostly sunny but cooler than average day with high temps in the mid-50s and overnight lows only around 40ºF.
The holiday weekend starts of with sunny skies and mid-60s temps. A cold front Saturday brings rain, and much cooler temps by Easter Sunday only in the low-50s. This cooler trend will continue into Monday as clouds increase ahead of the next storm system. Temps the second half of the weekend will be 8-10ºF below normal, a big contrast from this week!
Rest of today (Good Friday, Passover) – sunny with high temperatures in the mid-60s. This will be the best day of the weekend. Overnight lows in the low-50s with clouds building.
Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for Saturday at 8 AM. A cold front will be approaching during the day.
Saturday – cloudy with rain showers developing later in the day, with high temperatures in the low-60s. Temperatures will fall into the low-40s after a cold front passes through. Shower activity should taper off overnight.
Sunday (Easter) – mostly sunny but much cooler, with high temperatures only hitting the low-50s. This is 8-10ºF below normal for this time of year. Overnight lows dropping back into the low-40s.
GFS model 850 mb temperature anomalies valid for 5 PM Monday. Unlike this week, when we had strong positive anomalies, we’ll be seeing a -6ºC anomaly Monday, leading to much cooler temperatures at the surface.
Monday– clouds increasing ahead of the next storm system affecting us, with high temperatures again below normal in the low-50s. Overnight lows in the mid-40s with rain developing.
Rain clearing early today, highs in the low-70s. Slight drop to the mid-60s tomorrow, then a big warm up Thursday ahead of a cold front, highs in the mid-70s. Some thunderstorms possible with this front. Temps back off into the mid-60s to end the week with mostly sunny skies.
Rest of today – showers passing through the next couple of hours. Skies should clear out steadily during the rest of the day. Temperatures should warm up nicely into the low-70s as a result. Overnight lows around 50ºF
Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for Wednesday at 2 AM. The cold front bringing us rain today will return north as a warm front.
Wednesday – partly sunny with high temperatures in the mid-60s as the cold front that passes through today returns north as a warm front. Temps could go higher if the warm front passes early in the day. Little moisture or lift is available with this warm front so not expecting rain at this time. Overnight lows in the mid-50s.
Thursday – with the region in the warm sector of a parent low moving into eastern Canada, temperatures are set to soar into the mid-70s. Inland areas could see 80s. These temperatures would be nearly 20ºF above normal for this time of year. A cold front will sweep through later in the day and could bring some thunderstorms. Overnight lows around 50ºF with showers passing.
GFS model 850 mb temperature anomalies at 5 PM on Thursday, showing a strong +8ºC anomaly at that time. This should translate to much above average high temperatures at the surface.
Friday– high temperatures moderating back down to the mid-60s with sunny skies after the cold front. These temps are still about 10ºF above normal. Overnight lows around 50ºF.
Sunny and mild Friday in the low-60s followed by a seasonable weekend with highs in the mid to upper 50s. This will be punctuated by passing showers Saturday. Return to sunnier skies Sunday, though isolated showers still possible due to shortwaves/disturbances rotating around a closed upper low moving slowly into Quebec. Warm up next week into the mid-60s.
Rest of today – above average warmth with high temps topping around or just above 60ºF. Sunny skies giving way to increasing clouds overnight. Lows in the upper-40s with scattered showers developing.
GFS model 500 mb height and wind, showing a closed low at this level centered over Ontario/Northern Michigan. This feature will only progress northeastwards slowly over the weekend. Shortwaves rotating around its base will bring us chances for showers.
Saturday – cloudy with high temperatures in the upper-50s and chances for scattered showers, esp. early in the day. Overnight lows in the low-40s with skies clearing up somewhat.
Sunday – mostly sunny skies but with scattered showers possible at times. High temps in the mid-50s. Overnight lows in the low-40s.
Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for Monday at 8 AM. A ridge of surface high pressure is forecast to lie over us.
Monday– warming up with high temperatures back in the low-60s under mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows in the upper-40s.
Surge of spring-like warmth today ahead of a cold front. Showers and gusty winds accompany the passage of the front and usher in a much colder air mass Tuesday. High temps dropping from mid-60s today to low-40s tomorrow. Wed, we could get clipped by outer precip bands from an offshore low, with enough cold air in place to cause some snow flurries.
Rest of today – unseasonably warm and mostly cloudy with highs rising to the low-mid 60s. Breezy southerly winds 10-20 mph with higher gusts. Overnight lows dropping rapidly into the mid-30s behind the passage of a cold front, bringing showers around 7-9 PM tonight.
High Resolution Rapid Refresh simulated radar valid at 7 PM this evening, depicting a narrow band of fast moving showers approaching the city attendant to the passing cold front.
Tuesday – much colder with high temperatures topping out in the low-40s. Clearing skies, partly cloudy. Overnight lows in the low-30s.
Wednesday – snow showers likely, with possible light accumulations up to 1″ in the city (more likely on unpaved areas) due to the impact of an offshore storm. The GFS model seems more bullish on colder air/heavier precip while the Euro shows more of a dusting. High temperatures in the mid-30s. Overnight lows in upper-20s.
GFS 24 hour snowfall accumulation ending 7 AM Thursday.
Thursday– mostly sunny with high pressure building briefly in. High temperatures in the low-40s. Overnight lows in the upper-30s with rain chances increasing going into Friday as another storm system approaches from the west.
A brief warmup Tuesday as highs rise into the upper-80s to near 90ºF before a cold front swings through Wednesday bringing showers and thunderstorms. Seasonable and drier conditions behind the front in the mid-80s to end off the week with plenty of sun.
Rest of today – mostly sunny with high pressure briefly building and temperatures rising to 90ºF. Overnight lows dropping into the low-70s.
Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8 AM Wednesday, a cold front will be approaching from the north and west.
Wednesday – partly cloud with a cold front crossing the region during the day. High temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. Showers and thunderstorms possible in the evening. Overnight lows in the upper-60s.
Thursday – drier, cooler, with high temperatures in the mid-80s and mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows in the upper-60s.
GFS 500 mb temperature, height, and wind for Friday at 8 AM. Heights will drop around a closed low centered over the Canadian Maritimes, leading to seasonable temperatures. Some of the energy rotating around this low could bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to the area.
Friday– high temperatures again in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies and chance of showers and thunderstorms. Overnight lows in the upper-60s.
A wet, cool start to the week with an early round of thunderstorms that moved through this morning. Another is likely to follow early in the overnight tonight. Lingering showers Tuesday with a weak surface low in the vicinity. Highs below normal in mid-70s Monday, then warming up to average by midweek with sunny weather returning. The warm up continues into the weekend – Father’s Day looking good weather-wise so far!
Rest of today – high temperatures in the mid-70s with mostly cloudy skies. A second frontal boundary will push towards the area later this evening, with showers and thunderstorms again possible into the early overnight hours. Temperatures falling into the mid-60s.
HRRR simulated 1-kim radar valid for 9:30 PM tonight. An area of moderate to heavy rain accompanying some thunderstorms is depicted.
Tuesday – mostly cloudy still with a chance for showers early. High temperature near 80ºF. Overnight lows in the low-60s with clearing skies.
Wednesday – high pressure builds in behind what should be a dry cold frontal passage and resulting in a mostly sunny day with high temperatures around 80ºF. Overnight lows in the upper-50s given that the high pressure will usher in cooler, drier Canadian air.
GFS 500 mb temperature, height, and wind for Thursday at 8 PM. Heights will be building with a longwave trough exiting to our east. The result will be pleasant, sunny weather.
Thursday– mostly sunny with high temperatures in the upper-70s. Pleasant conditions with the high pressure above still in control. Overnight lows in the low-60s.
Upper-80s heat and humidity will spawn scattered heavy rain and thunderstorms over the next couple of days. Low vertical wind shear and weak overall steering currents mean the primary threat from these storms will be possible localized flooding. A backdoor cold front drops in from Canada Wednesday night leading to much cooler temperatures Thursday in the low-80s. Rain and even cooler temperatures arrive Fri when we may only just hit 70ºF.
Rest of today – partly sunny with high temperatures in the upper-80s, and a muggy feel to the day. Scattered thunderstorms bring the potential for heavy downpours later in the evening, perhaps starting around 7PM. Overnight lows in the low-70s as showers roll through early.
HRRR simulated 1-kim radar valid for 8 PM tonight. An area of moderate to heavy rain accompanying some thunderstorms is depicted.
Wednesday – high temperatures again in the upper-80s. Mostly cloudy with yet another shot for some heavy downpours especially later in the afternoon as a cold front draws nearer. Overnight lows around 70ºF as a backdoor cold front eventually pushes through.
Thursday – with the backdoor cold front already south of us by Tuesday morning, high temperatures should cool off to around 80ºF. Chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Overnight lows around 60ºF.
Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for valid 12 AM Thursday. A backdoor cold front is forecast to drop in from the north and east. The result will be a much cooler air mass than we’ve seen the beginning of this week.
Friday– much cooler with persistent clouds and showers possible through the day, high temperatures perhaps only around 70ºF. Overnight lows around 60ºF with rain chances continuing.
Muggy with thunderstorms rolling through later this afternoon and highs in the upper-70s. The story this weekend is about building heat and humidity. A Bermuda high becomes the dominant feature bringing an extended period of 90ºF+ heat into next week. While this high is anchored in the western Atlantic, we won’t see any appreciable chances for rain at least until later in the week next week.
Rest of today – mostly cloudy with high temperatures in the upper-70s. HRRR simulated radar runs this morning consistently signalling the arrival of a line of thunderstorms around 3-4PM this afternoon. Behind these storms, temperatures overnight expected to be in the mid-60s.
HRRR rapid refresh simulated 1-km radar valid 3:30 PM later today showing a cluster/line of thunderstorms moving through the NYC area.
Saturday – sunny with high temperatures much warmer in the upper-80s. Overnight lows in the low-70s. Humidity will be building as well due to the influence of southwesterly/westerly flow bringing in a warmer and moisture-laden air mass.
Sunday – high temperatures around 90ºF with mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows in the low-70s.
GFS model 1000-500 mb thickness and surface conditions valid 8 PM Sunday. You can see a sprawling high pressure center in the Atlantic. Clockwise anticyclonic flow from the south/southwesterly flow around the periphery of this high will advect hot, humid air towards our area.
Monday– with a Bermuda high still in place, expect high temperatures to once again reach around 90ºF with higher heat index values due to the humidity. Overnight lows in the low-70s.
Quite a different picture this weekend versus last weekend. Instead of summer like warmth, temperatures will be 10-20ºF below normal in the 50s-60s Saturday and Sunday. A series of slow moving coastal lows is the culprit, bringing much needed rain, and the most substantial rain since the beginning of the month. Memorial Day looks sunnier with temperatures climbing back towards normal in the 70s.
Rest of today – increasing clouds, high temperature in the mid-upper 60s. Rain begins to arrive towards the late afternoon and continues on right through the overnight hours. Overnight lows dropping to around 50ºF.
Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8 AM Saturday. A low pressure center moving from the Ohio Valley will elongate with a stationary front extending east-northeast offshore of the region. Waves of low pressure will the move along this boundary this weekend bringing multiple rounds of rain.
Saturday – windy, rainy, and raw, with temperatures only in the mid-50s, which is more typical of March than May. Persistent northeasterly onshore flow with a stationary front positioned south of the region and waves of low pressure moving along it will act to keep things cloudy and cool. Overnight lows again around the 50ºF mark with rain chances backing off but still possible.
Sunday – another low pressure moving along that stationary front will bring more chances for rain particularly early in the day. High temperatures slightly warmer in the low-60s. Overnight lows in the low-50s.
GFS model 1000-500 mb thickness and precipitation type for 11 AM Sunday. Another area of low pressure is depicted impacting the area.
Monday– the unsettled weather finally moves off with a return to sunnier weather. High temperatures Monday should hit the low-70s as a result. Overnight lows in the upper-50s.
