Tag Archives: nyc weather

NYC Thanksgiving Weather Update – Nov 22, 2016

Winds finally abate after today. Temperatures rebound later this week, but remain below normal for the forecast period. There is a chance for rain on Thanksgiving Day, as well as Friday. Looking ahead into the first week of December, there could be a couple storms rolling our way.

Today – sunny, less windy, but still cold with temperatures again only in the low-40s. A good day for travel.

Thursday (Thanksgiving Day) – cloudy, warmer with a high near 50°F. There is a chance for rain, but that the timing of the rain favors the afternoon after the parade ends. What rain there might be will be light. Winds also will be light, so those balloons at the Macy’s Day Parade should have no problems.

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Friday – rain chances persist, along with temperatures warming to near normal in the low-50s as warmer air flows in ahead of a cold front from the southwest.

Saturday – the frontal system affecting the area Thursday and Friday finally will clear the area. Showers may pop off early, but the skies should slowly clear as temperatures remain around normal in the low-50s.

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 18, 2016

An extended period of well above normal temperatures comes to an abrupt end this weekend as a strong cold front pushes through overnight Saturday into Sunday. On the back side of this frontal boundary, temperatures will average around 15ºF lower than we’ve seen this week. If you like it mild, go out and enjoy this weather before Saturday!

Rest of today – sunny and mild with high temperatures in the low-60s.

Saturday – another mild day on tap with lots of sun and a high around 60ºF. Chances for rain increase into the overnight hours, at this point peaking around midnight. Winds will pick up first from the southeast ahead of the cold front, then to the west. Sustained winds of 15-20mph with gusts over 30mph are possible.
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Sunday – rain chances taper off but winds remain in the 20-30mph with strong gusts up to 40mph. High temperatures will be significantly colder than we’ve gotten used to and below normal in the mid-40s. A tight pressure gradient sets up between the departing low and a high pressure center to the southwest, blasting us with cold Canadian air as a result.

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Monday – clouds diminishing gradually, winds still pretty breezy, and a high only in the low-40s.

 

NYC Weather Update – Nov 14, 2016

The beginning of the week will see much needed rain, and then transition to sunny and above average weather. Drought conditions have improved in New York State overall, though most of the improvement has been concentrated upstate.

Rest of today/overnight – rain begins to move in to the area overnight. Because of the very dry air that was in place to end the weekend, it will take some time before the moisture associated with a coastal low can saturate the air. It appears the most likely time for when heavier/steadier rains begin is around 4AM.

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Tuesday – rain, moderate to heavy at times in the morning. Northeast winds around the coastal low responsible for the rain will keep temperatures cooler than normal in the low-50s with cloudy skies. Rain chances diminish substantially in the afternoon.

Wednesday – a small chance for lingering drizzle on Wednesday as temperatures rebound back into the upper-50s. Clouds will be on the decrease.

Thursday – sunny, with a high near 60ºF. High pressure takes over to to end the week.

Drought Improves Upstate, Still Severe in and Around NYC.

Recent rains have improved the drought situation for many portions of upstate New York, and also some areas of the city and Long Island. However, as you can see from the image below, much of the area is still gripped by severe drought.

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NYC Veterans Day Weekend Weather – Nov 10, 2016

After some needed rain yesterday, we move back into a pattern of dry weather that will be in place until at least mid-week next week. Temperatures will be the coldest this season on Saturday behind a cold front, then rebound to above normal for the remainder of the period.

Rest of today – clearing skies with temperatures dropping into the mid-40s overnight. Winds pick up from the northwest.

Friday (Veteran’s Day) – high temperatures in the upper-50s. Clouds increasing with an approaching cold front, but no rain is expected due to lack of enough moisture. Windy, with a northwest wind 15-25mph.

Saturday – overnight lows Friday will be the coldest yet for the city right above freezing. Temperatures do not rebound much Saturday even with lots of sun. Highs may not even hit 50ºF. Winds abate somewhat, but still in the 10-15mph range.

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Sunday – this high pressure will slide towards the southeast by Sunday. Return flow around the western edge of the high pressure will shift winds more to the west/southwest allowing warmer air in and high temperatures around 60ºF.

NYC Weather Update – Nov 7, 2016

The 2016 election will soon be behind us. Regardless of who wins, we’re in for a general cooling trend later this week. We have a shot at rain this Wednesday although chances are not too high.

Rest of today – seasonable, sunny, highs in the mid-50s.

Tuesday (Election Day) – warmer, with high temperatures in the low-mid 60s. The start of the day will be chilly though, due to clear and calm skies and excellent radiational cooling overnight. If you’re lining up early to vote, expect temperatures in the mid-40s.

Milder air will get swept up around the high pressure center over TN/NC ahead of the advancing cold front
Milder air will get swept up around the high pressure center over TN/NC ahead of the advancing cold front

Wednesday – mostly cloudy with a chance of showers increasing during the day. Not expecting anything by way of heavy rain. High temperatures around 60ºF.

Thursday – skies clearing to mostly sunny with high temperatures in the seasonable upper-50s.

 

NYC Marathon Weekend Weather – Nov 4, 2016

This weekend’s weather offers a significant contrast from last weekend, when we received a couple rounds of substantial rainfall. This is good news for the many thousands of runners and fans of the TCS New York City Marathon. High pressure is in firm control of the weather for almost the entire Eastern US. One additional reminder that Sunday morning marks the end of Daylight Savings Time, so remember to set you clocks back an hour and enjoy an extra hour of sleep.

Rest of today – sunny, with some wind gusts in the 20mph range, but otherwise pleasant with high temperatures around 60ºF.

Saturday – sunny again, though a little bit cooler with high temperatures in the upper-50s.

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Sunday – temperatures at the start time for the marathon should range in the upper-40s. High temperatures should max out around the mid-50s, so during most of the race, expect temperatures in the low-50s. There will be a modest north wind, between 10-15mph.

Monday – another crisp, dry, sunny fall day on tap with high temperatures in the mid-50s.

 

NYC Weather Update – Oct 31, 2016

There’s nothing scary with our weather this week in New York City. We’re looking at a cool start to the week, followed by a gradual warmup with a chance at rain towards the later part of this week. We received a couple rounds of drenching rains last week and yesterday, which will help the drought conditions somewhat, but it’s still not nearly enough to make up the deficit we’ve had this year.

Rest of today – clear, with a high in the low-50s after the passage of the cold front that brought us heavy rain yesterday. Trick or treating weather conditions should be just fine, though a bit on the cool side with lows dropping into upper-30s and around 40ºF tonight.

Tuesday – milder, sunny, with a high of around 60ºF in the city.

Wednesday – a warm front will push through early Wednesday. This will open the door to warmer air flowing around a high pressure center over the Southeast and an advancing cold front from the west. Temperatures will rise into the mid-60s with increasing clouds.

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Thursday – even warmer still before this cold front above actually hits us. High temperatures expected to be in the upper-60s to near 70ºF. Some chances for showers later in the day into the overnight hours.

Drought Likely to Persist

Despite having received several inches of rain over the last couple of weeks, the seasonal outlook for our area continues to point to persistent moderate to severe drought. We hope to see some good snowfall like last winter that could bust the drought later on.

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NYC Weather Update + Winter Outlook – Oct 24, 2016

Autumn weather is here in earnest. In a remarkable change from last week, we’ll see high temperatures below normal for most days. Temperatures will range 30ºF cooler than this time last week. As we look ahead towards the winter, there are mixed signals about whether this will be a cooler, warmer, or average winter.

Rest of today – sunny, breezy, with a high near 60ºF. Northwest winds around 15mph, gusting to 30mph.

Tuesday – mostly sunny, breezy again especially later with northwest winds again between 15-20mph. Cooler, with high temperatures in the mid-50s. With the wind, it will feel quite cool for this time of year.

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Wednesday – winds should ease up a bit, but will be cool again with high temperatures potentially only in the low-50s.

Thursday – temperatures rise back into the mid-50s with the approach of a storm system from the west that should bring a chance for rain, increasing through the day.

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Winter Outlook

Meteorologists are less confident that we’ll have a La Niña this coming winter, which makes the winter climate outlook more uncertain. There are indications that temperatures may be a bit milder overall. However, that doesn’t preclude the possibility of some serious cold spells also.

There are conflicting forecasts that call for a colder than normal winter also, which you can read about on Weather Underground. Unfortunately, there is no indication we’ll get above average precipitation, which would be welcomed considering most of the Northeast is still dealing with an increasingly serious drought.

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NYC Weekend Weather – Oct 20, 2016

This week has seen unprecedented and record breaking warmth for the middle of October, with temperatures that were more indicative of mid-June. But this weekend, we’re about to get a dose of reality as temperatures drop dramatically to below normal levels, in some cases 25ºF cooler than mid-week. We get some chances for much needed rain as well with some uncertainty due to the interaction of a possible tropical/subtropical system.

Rest of today – cloudy with a high around 70ºF. Chance of rain late in the day and into the overnight hours.

Friday – chances for rain increase throughout the day and especially in the evening and overnight hours. Interaction with a possible tropical/subtropical system complicates the forecast in terms of where the heaviest rain sets up. High temperatures in the mid-70s and mostly cloudy.

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Saturday – the National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of disturbed weather off the Bahamas that they’re giving a 50% of becoming a named tropical/subtropical system in the next few days. Regardless of whether a named storm forms, this system is expected to merge with an approaching cold front Saturday. This would give the cold front an extra shot of energy and moisture, though it would appear that the bulk of this moisture and rain falls well north of the area. Behind this cold front, the pressure gradient tightens and cold air rushes in from Canada, resulting in a blustery, though sunny, day with high temperatures struggling to hit 60ºF and a brisk northwest wind.

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Sunday – winds die down, and temperatures rebound to average levels in the low-60s under mostly sunny skies.

 

NYC Weather Update – Oct 11, 2016

We did end up getting rainier, windier weather last weekend than expected because of the lingering influence of Post-Tropical Storm Matthew as it got absorbed by a cold front. This cold front is what’s brought us the first real blast of autumn chill. This trend will reverse itself the next couple days. Cooler air returns for the weekend.

Rest of today – seasonable with highs in the mid-60s and mostly sunny skies.

Wednesday – warmer, with a cold front approaching from the west, warmer air will flow in from the south. This will allow temperatures to rise into the upper-60s under increasingly cloudy skies.

Thursday – a bit milder than Wednesday, with a possibility of temperatures reaching into the low-mid 70s. There is a slight chance for rain with the passage of the cold front, but this frontal passage looks in general to be a dry one.

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Friday – colder air returns after the passage of the frontal boundary late Thursday. Temperatures return to seasonable levels in the low-60s under mostly sunny skies with overnight lows dipping to around 50ºF in the city and much cooler in the surrounding suburbs.

Saturday – another picture perfect autumn day with high temperatures in the low-60s and lots of sun.

Severe Drought Persists

We continue to suffer from a persistent and severe drought. We are more than 8″ below where we should be this time of year in terms of overall precipitation and the long term outlook does not call for any relief. season_drought 20161004_ny_trd