Nor’easter Update – 12PM, Feb 13, 2014

Satellite water vapor imagery clearly shows an area of drier air (in orange), known as a dry slot, working its way into the nor’easter currently impacting the NYC area. Intense bands of snow continue to push into the interior areas north and west of the city.

However, radar imagery from Mount Holly, NJ NWS office is already beginning to show a break in precipitation associated with this drier air. As this dry air works its way north, we can expect a break with lighter snow/rain for the area. This could work to lower overall snowfall totals in areas that see this break. At the surface, snow has transitioned to rain/sleet for most areas in NYC, Long Island, coastal NJ and southeastern CT. The rain/snow line should remain stable in its current position for the remainder of the afternoon.

Precipitation should transition back to all snow during the evening and overnight. Additional accumulation is expected with more large-scale banding features forecast to form on the backside of the nor’easter low pressure center as it intensifies and exits to the northeast. Another 3-5″ is possible overnight in the city. Snowfall totals in areas north and west should easily top 12″ by the end of this event.

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