NYC Weekend Weather – Jun 19, 2015

In contrast to last weekend, where Sunday was the better half, the reverse will be true this weekend. Remnants of Tropical Depression Bill will be moving over us on Sunday, bringing the potential for extended periods of showers and heavy rain. It is hoped that this much needed rain will put a dent in the persistent moderate drought conditions in the region.

Rest of today – there is a small chance for thunderstorms up until around lunchtime today, after which skies should gradually clear. High temperatures are expected to top out in the upper-80s to near 90.

Saturday – high pressure will be shifting to the east, bringing in an onshore flow, keeping temperatures cooler in the upper-70s under partly sunny skies. Chances for rain will be increasing steadily through the evening such that by the overnight hours, periods of steady rain should be the norm.

Sunday – As referenced above, remnants of Tropical Depression Bill, still carrying tropical moisture, will be moving over the region. There is still some uncertainty as to whether the areas of heaviest rain will move further south and over the ocean, however, at this point it seems likely that Sunday will feature periods of steady rain, heavy at times. Rainfall probability and rainfall totals will drop precipitously from south to north, since the storm center is expected to track to our south. We could pick up as much as 1″-1.5″ of rain over Long Island, which would be a blessing since this area is still in the grip of moderate drought conditions. With clouds and rain, high temperatures should top out around 80.

Quantitative Precipitation Forecast for Sunday
Quantitative Precipitation Forecast for Sunday
North American Model high resolution output for Sunday at 11AM EDT
North American Model high resolution output for Sunday at 11AM EDT 
Drought coverage in New York as of this week
Drought coverage in New York as of this week

Monday – conditions improve following the passage of the storm on Sunday, with high temperatures rebounding into the mid-upper 80s under mostly sunny skies.

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