Monthly Archives: November 2015

NYC Weather Update – Nov 30, 2015

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We start this week off with cool, but slightly above average temperatures in the upper-40s to around 50ºF. A warm up occurs midweek along with a passing frontal system, then a return back to seasonably cool temperatures takes place to end the week.

Rest of today – increasingly cloudy with high temperatures peaking in the mid-upper 40s.

Tuesday – a warm front approaching from the south will provide for an increasing chance of rain tonight into early Tuesday. Temperatures in some inland areas may support a brief period of freezing rain before transition to all rain occurs early in the morning. Temperatures should reach around 50ºF with periods of light rain.

Wednesday – temperatures will warm into the mid-upper 50s by Wednesday following the passage of the aforementioned warm front and prior to the passage of a cold front. Rain continues in periods throughout the day and begins to taper off late Wednesday going into the overnight hours.

 

 

 

 

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Thursday – once the cold front dives through, winds pick up from the northwest again, and drive temperatures down into the upper-40s to near 50ºF Thursday. Expecting dry and mostly sunny conditions otherwise.

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 27, 2015

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Thanksgiving has given us some spectacular weather to be grateful for, but a cool down is in the cards for the region as we enter this weekend. A cold front will be pushing through the area slowly Saturday, bringing some rain, then colder temperatures as cooler air from Canada filters in behind the front. By Monday, high temperatures will only be in the upper-40s.

Rest of today – increasing clouds later today, but for the rest of the afternoon, warm with record-breaking high temperatures in the low-mid 60s.

Saturday – rain likely later in the day, cloudy with cooler temperatures in the mid-50s.noaad2

Sunday – a lingering chance of showers with mostly cloudy skies and a high near 50ºF.

Monday – cooler, but dry, with temperatures only in the upper-40s.

NYC Thanksgiving Weather – Nov 23, 2015

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Thanksgiving week starts off with a chill, but temperatures will warm nicely to end the week. Thanksgiving Day itself is shaping up to be a superb day with above normal temperatures near 60ºF and mostly sunny skies. There’s no real threat of precipitation worth mentioning through the week either.

Rest of today – cool with a high only in the low-40s.

Tuesday – will start off with temperatures barely above freezing in the city, and well below freezing in the outlying suburbs. In fact, a freeze watch has been issued for the city (with the exception of Staten Island, which already had a freeze earlier this fall). Winds will still be kicking up in the early part of the day, bringing wind chill values in the 30s. High temperatures only in the mid-40s.

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Wednesday – the high pressure depicted above will move offshore to our east. This puts us on the west side of the high, and the clockwise, return flow around that high pressure will mean a gradual shift in winds to the southwest, bringing warmer air along with it. Temperatures should rebound back into the lower-50s with lots of sunshine.

Thanksgiving Day – really can’t ask for better viewing conditions for the Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade. Temperatures at the start of the parade should be in the upper-40s to near 50ºF. Light winds should not present a problem for the multitude of balloons. High temperatures should reach into the mid-upper 50s by the afternoon.

Friday – should end up being the warmest day of the week, with high temperatures climbing into the low-60s ahead of an approaching cold front.

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 19, 2015

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A soaking rainstorm passes through the area later today and then paves the way for cooler, drier air to take over this weekend. By the end of this weekend, temperatures will only be in the low-50s and even upper-40s going into Monday. Looking ahead, temperatures return to normal ranges in the low-50s next week before another warmup around Thanksgiving. Currently, it looks as though the first week of December will open up with cooler than average temperatures.

Rest of today – cloudy and warm with a steady wind from the southeast. Scattered light rain is occurring across parts of the area now. The heavier rain should begin falling later this afternoon (around the PM rush) as more moisture works its way in from the south and the storm system closes in, providing better atmospheric conditions for rain. The rains are still much needed for most of the Tri-State area (in particular Souther Connecticut and Long Island) that remains in the grip of a moderate drought.

High Resolution Rapid Refresh model simulated radar for 5PM EST
High Resolution Rapid Refresh model simulated radar for 5PM EST

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Friday – rain ends overnight into Friday morning. Skies clear rapidly with temperatures topping out in the mid-50s.

Saturday – high pressure builds in behind the frontal boundary that will pass early Friday. This high pressure will shift winds to the west and then northwest, bringing in cooler, drier air from Canada. Temperatures will only be around 50 on Saturday as a result.

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Sunday – pretty much a clone of Saturday, mostly sunny skies, cool with highs around 50ºF.

Monday – cooler, with high temperatures that may struggle to hit 50ºF.

NYC Weather Update – Nov 16, 2015

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This week will feature a mixed bag of warm and cool temperatures, along with a bout of moderate-heavy rain and even a couple thunderstorms associated with a cold front passing through the region on Thursday into Friday. Timing of this frontal passage isn’t 100% certain at this point. However, it is clear that behind this front, temperatures will take a dive into more seasonable ranges in the upper-40s to around 50ºF by this weekend.

Rest of today – clear skies with a high temperature well into the mid-60s. This is due in part to high pressure to our south that’s allowing for warm air to flow in from the west.

Tuesday – quite a different story in terms of temperatures. A backdoor cold front pushes through overnight, leading to a shift in winds to the northeast by tomorrow. This wind pattern favors cooler temperatures as the winds circulating clockwise around a high pressure center over the Canadian Maritimes bring in a cooler airmass. High temperatures will struggle to hit 50ºF in this atmosphere.

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Wednesday – temperatures quickly rebound as winds switch back to the south-southeast ahead of a cold front which will be passing through the area sometime late Thursday. Cloud should increase during the day, but enough sun should still get through to get temperatures back to near 60.

Thursday – a mostly cloudy day with periods of rain throughout looks to be the headline for Thursday. Temperatures should warm up nicely into the mid-60s with warm, moist air entering the area from the south ahead of the actual cold front. Periods of heavy rain at times could be accompanied by an occasional thunderstorm especially as the cold front nears.gfs_namer_075_1000_850_thick 2

 

 

 

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 12, 2015

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Periods of rain this afternoon give way to drier weather over the weekend as a cold front passes through late today into the overnight hours. Drier weather prevails this weekend, though with the passage of this cold front, gusty northwest winds will enter the region, bringing in significantly cooler temperatures for Saturday. Temperatures rebound Sunday as we enter another period of slightly above normal temperatures.

Rest of today – showers have moved out of the area at this point, but a few scattered showers may still pop up later today. Otherwise, cloudy with high temperatures already peaking around 60.

Friday – mostly sunny with winds from the west in the 15-20mph range, gusts up to 30mph.

Saturday – winds again in the 15-20mph range with gusts up to 30-35mph. Sunny skies, but temperatures well below normal in the upper-40s, highs may not break 50 in the city. With the winds, it will feel like temperatures are in the upper-30s to low-40s.

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Sunday – winds finally start subsiding, and temperatures will rebound back to around normal in the mid-50s with sunny skies.

Monday – as the high pressure depicted above begins moving to our east, southwest flow on its backside will bring temperatures back into the low-60s.

 

NYC Weather Update – Nov 9, 2015

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We have a fairly active weather week ahead of us, with two separate chances for rain coming from two different storms, the first of which impacts the area tomorrow and tomorrow night. The second storm system to affect us this week will make its passage on Thursday. Temperatures are much more seasonable this week with high temperatures hovering near 60 for most of the week.

Rest of today – mostly sunny with a high near 60 degrees.

Tuesday – a low pressure center over the Gulf coast today will strengthen into a coastal low as it tracks to our south and east Tuesday and Tuesday night. Like most coastal lows of this type, a large shield of overrunning precipitation will advance ahead of the actual low. This should translate to a rainy day Tuesday, with steady chances for precipitation throughout the course of the day and into the overnight hours. An east wind will also bring a cool, onshore breeze into the area, giving the day a raw feel despite high temperatures near 60.

 

 

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Wednesday (Veterans Day) – looks to be bookended by wet weather, but should be a mostly dry day with more clouds than sun, and a high again near 60.

Thursday – a cold front associated with a low pressure system that’s currently over the plains will bring about our second chance for rain this week, although this round of rain should not be as long-lived or drenching as tomorrow’s storm. High temperatures should remain around 60.

NYC Weekend Weather – Nov 5, 2015

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The warm trend we’ve enjoyed this week comes to an abrupt halt over the weekend as we return to seasonable highs in the upper-50s. We are due to enjoy a couple more days of much above average warmth beforehand, as we’re now in the warm sector south of a warm front that has pushed through and west of a cold front due in late Friday and into the overnight hours Saturday.

Rest of today – mostly cloudy with a high in the upper-60s. A slight chance of rain especially later in the afternoon.

Friday – we’ll be firmly within the warm sector tomorrow with a steady southwesterly flow. Warm air will work its way into the area and yield near record-breaking temperatures in the mid-70s, and possibly even warmer if there are any breaks for sun. There will be another chance at rain tomorrow afternoon and evening as the cold front nears and passes through.  noaad2

Saturday – a marked change in sensible weather is on tap for Saturday once the cold front passes through the region. Skies should clear from west to east over the day, but high temperatures will only be in the low-60s.

Sunday – even cooler, with highs only in the mid-50s under sunny skies.

NYC Weather Update – Nov 2, 2015

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It’s the first week of November, but it will feel more like late September with the warm temperatures that are on tap for this week. A robust ridge of high pressure will set up over the area and persist through most of the week, allowing for a very mild airmass to build into the region and set the stage for some unseasonable warmth.

Rest of today – cloudy with high temperatures in the mid-60s.

Tuesday – clouds clear out with high temperatures warming into the low-70s.

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Wednesday – warm temperatures continue with highs around 70 and sunny skies.

Thursday – more clouds than sun, but warm again with a high near 70.