NYC Weekend Weather – Mar 22, 2019

A long duration Nor’easter slowly moves its way eastwards. Conditions improve during the second half of the weekend. A brief warmup to above average temperatures takes place. This doesn’t last, with another cold front passing through to start next week. Tomorrow, keep an eye out on the skies for a possible glimpse at the aurora borealis, typically not visible at these latitudes.

Rest of today – chance for rain shower diminishing as the center of a slow moving Nor’easter continues to progress northeast. High temperatures reaching around 50ºF. Winds will increase on the backside of this departing low overnight. Winds will shift towards the northwest as well, bringing in colder air and overnight lows in the mid-30s.

GOES East satellite loop of the storm system affecting the Northeast
Ocean Prediction Center surface analysis for the Atlantic Basin. A strong blocking high is inhibiting the forward progress of the Nor’easter impacting our area. This is leading to a long duration coastal flooding and wind event.

Saturday – decreasing clouds as the low above continues progressing northeast slowly. Winds will increase as this low continues to deepen and the pressure gradient builds between it and and area of high pressure further west. Steady winds in the 20-25 mph range with gusts as high as 40 mph are forecast. High temperatures will be a bit below normal as a result in the upper-40s. Overnight lows will be cold, in the mid-30s with clear skies.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 8AM Sunday, still showing a tight pressure gradient between a high over the Ohio Valley and the departing Nor’easter

Sunday – temperatures rebound into the mid-50s as an area of high pressure builds and slides off to our southeast, and winds turn towards the southwest bringing in warmer air. Sunny skies – this will be the best day of the weekend.

Monday – another cold front approaches from the west and brings a possibility for rain. Temperatures ahead of this front should reach into the low-50s. Behind this, we’ll get another shot of cold air, with temperatures dropping overnight into the low-30s.

Northern Lights Possibly Visible from NYC

On Tuesday, The Space Weather Prediction Center (it exists!) detected a large Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) associated with a potent solar flare. As a result, they have issued a moderate geomagnetic storm watch for Saturday, March 23. Of note, the belt where the charged particles from this CME would impact the Earth’s upper atmosphere and result in an aurora quite a bit further south than where the northern lights are typically visible. In fact, they may even be visible from NYC, although it may be hard to see them due to light pollution.

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