NYC Weather Update – Nov 9, 2020

The week starts with possible record breaking warmth carrying over from the weekend. Record high temperatures in the mid-upper 70s were set at several locations in the region yesterday. More records could fall today with highs in the mid-70s again. A general cooling trend takes place this week with highs eventually dropping back to seasonable levels in the upper-50s. A cold front mid-week with good moisture will bring a drenching rain Wednesday into Thursday.

Rest of today – very warm with possibly record breaking temperatures in the mid-70s once again under sunny skies. Overnight lows in the upper-50s with patchy fog possible.

Weather Prediction Center surface forecast for 7AM Tuesday

Tuesday – temperatures cool off a bit but still quite warm in the upper-60s to near 70ºF with more clouds. Overnight lows quite mild in the low-60s.

Wednesday (Veteran’s Day) increasing clouds but still warm with high temperatures approaching 70ºF. A vigorous cold front will be moving in from the west. Rain chances increase through the afternoon. Most of the rain should occur overnight with good moisture content accompanying this front. Overnight lows in only dropping into the mid-60s with warm, southerly flow ahead of the frontal passage.

GFS model 850 mb relative humidity and winds at 1AM Thursday, depicting some decently fast winds and ample moisture accompanying the cold front.

Thursday high temperatures occur early in the day prior to the passage of the cold front. Rain should subside as soon as the front passes. Behind the front, winds turn to the west and bring in a cooler, drier air mass. Temperatures should drop through the day with overnight lows bottoming out around 50ºF.

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