NYC Weather Update – Mar 1, 2021

March brings in week of great contrasts, typical of a transition into spring. Periods of rain off and on today before a plunge in temperatures going into Tuesday. Strong northwesterly winds will accompany the cold as the pressure gradient tightens around the departing low bringing rain today. Temps rebound into the upper-40s midweek but drop back towards end of week into the upper-30s.

Rest of today – periods of rain mostly before noon. Breezy with northwest winds increasing into the 15-20 mph by later in the day. Temperatures start dropping with these winds kicking in after noon bringing on strong cold air advection. Clouds clear towards the overnight when lows are expected to drop into low-20s.

GFS model 2-meter above ground level temperatures, and 10-meter above ground level winds at 7AM Tuedsay.

Tuesday – mostly sunny with high temperatures in the mid-30s. Strong northwest winds in the 20-30 mph range with gusts above 45 mph possible. Overnight lows in the low-30s.

Wednesday – high temperatures rebound quickly to near 50ºF with winds subsiding and mostly sunny skies. Overnight temperatures dropping into the mid-30s.

GFS model surface precipitation, and 1000-500 mb thickness for Thursday at 11AM. The blue thickness lines over much of the northeast indicate a return to below normal temperatures on the way.

Thursday temperatures cooling a touch back into the mid-40s with mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows dropping back into the upper-20s.

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