This short holiday week will feature decent weather for the most part, with the exception of Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. As of now, it does appear that there will be a chance of showers/thunderstorms on July 4th itself, however, uncertainty and considerable disparities between different forecast models has been noted by forecasters. We should have a clearer picture of the situation later this week.

Rest of today – clouds gradually increase in coverage during the day today with high temperatures in the low-80s. Overnight, chances for rain will steadily pick up as a warm front approaches the area from the south and west.

Wednesday – a mostly cloudy day with highs in the low-mid 80s. There is a good chance for showers early on in the day. However, the chance of rain starts to diminish in the afternoon, and it is unclear if there will be enough instability remaining in the atmosphere following the passage of the warm front above to support more rain or storms.

Thursday – a cold front following on the heels of the warm front mentioned above will mean that there is still a chance for showers and thunderstorms as that frontal boundary approaches. Temperatures should be similar to Wednesday, in the low-mid 80s.

Looking ahead at the holiday weekend, it looks like both Friday and Sunday should be mostly sunny with temperatures in the low-80s. There is a small chance for rain and thunderstorms for Independence Day, but there is enough forecast uncertainty in the forecast models to hope for a dry day Saturday as well.