We will start this week that marks the 16th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks with excellent and seasonably warm temperatures in the low-80s for memorial services today. The pleasant weather should hold up through Thursday before the remnants of Irma begin to move into the region. Looking ahead, some forecast models have hinted that Hurricane Jose poses a possible risk to the East Coast.

Rest of today – pleasant, mild conditions with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures in the low-80s.

Tuesday – mostly sunny skies again with high temperatures much the same as today in the low-80s. High pressure will be in control of our weather during this period.

Wednesday – clouds begin to build in conjunction with the northward movement of the expansive cloud shield associated with Irma well to the south. This will cause temperatures to dip just a bit to about 80°F.

Thursday –  a touch warmer, mostly cloudy skies, high temperatures in the low-80s.

Hurricane Irma and Jose Updates

Residents of Florida’s west coast avoided what looked like it could be a worst case scenario for them. Irma weakened faster than forecast and moved just far enough inland such that the strongest winds of the eye did not hit Tampa. The weaker storm also reduced the risk of serious storm surge. Still, as you’ve probably seen from media reports, damage from the storm is widespread and of varying degrees of severity across the state. The dangers of the storm now move inland, with heavy rain and tropical storm winds into the Southeast.

While Irma spins down over the Southeast, Jose remains a wildcard for the East Coast next week. Several runs of the GFS have suggested a landfall for Jose somewhere in the Mid-Atlantic or Northeast. It’s far too early to know with any degree of certainty whether this scenario will pan out, since a lot of other forecast models show Jose curving out to sea, but it will bear watching.